2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout76% Increase
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 2,382,202 1,167,202
Percentage 65.60% 32.14%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Biden easily carried Massachusetts with a 33-point margin, the largest margin whereby any nominee had carried the state since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. Massachusetts was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Rhode Island and Hawaii.

Massachusetts voted 29% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.

2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 473,861 33.41 37
Bernie Sanders 376,990 26.58 30
Elizabeth Warren 303,864 21.43 24
Michael Bloomberg 166,200 11.72
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 38,400 2.71
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 17,297 1.22
Tulsi Gabbard 10,548 0.74
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 6,923 0.49
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 6,762 0.48
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,708 0.19
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,257 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 675 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 617 0.04
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 426 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 305 0.02
All Others 1,941 0.14
No Preference 5,345 0.38
Blank ballots 4,061 0.29
Total 1,418,180 100% 91

Republican primary

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did former Massachusetts governor and Utah senator Mitt Romney.

2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Donald Trump 239,115 86.32 41
Bill Weld 25,425 9.18 0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 3,008 1.09 0
Rocky De La Fuente 675 0.24 0
No Preference 4,385 1.58 0
Blank ballots 2,242 0.81 0
All Others 2,152 0.78 0
Total 277,002 100% 41

Libertarian primary

2020 Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary

March 3, 2020 2024 →
← CA
NC →
 
Candidate Write-in
(uncounted)
No preference Vermin Supreme
Home state Various N/A Massachusetts
Popular vote 958 804 398
Percentage 25.0% 21.0% 10.4%

 
Candidate Jacob Hornberger Dan Behrman Kim Ruff
(withdrawn)
Home state Virginia Nevada Arizona
Popular vote 369 294 224
Percentage 9.6% 7.7% 5.8%

Election results by county
 No preference
 Jacob Hornberger

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.

Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020
Candidate Votes Percentage
All others 958 25.0%
No preference 804 21.0%
Vermin Supreme 399 10.4%
Jacob Hornberger 369 9.6%
Dan Behrman 294 7.7%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 224 5.8%
Arvin Vohra 151 3.9%
Ken Armstrong 145 3.8%
Jo Jorgensen 141 3.7%
Sam Robb 127 3.3%
Adam Kokesh 125 3.3%
Max Abramson 98 2.6%
Total 3,835 100%

Green primary

Massachusetts Green Party presidential primary, March 3, 2020
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Dario Hunter 224 16.9 2
Howie Hawkins 217 16.4 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry 141 10.6 1
Kent Mesplay 55 4.1 0
David Rolde 4 0.3 0
Write-In 369 27.8 0
No Preference 316 23.8 7
Total 1326 100.00% 11

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist Safe D September 2, 2020
270towin Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News Safe D July 31, 2020
NBC News Safe D August 6, 2020
538 Safe D September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
Margin
270 to Win October 17 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 65.0% 28.7% 6.3% Biden +36.3
RealClearPolitics July 31 – August 27, 2020 September 15, 2020 64.0% 28.3% 7.7% Biden +35.7
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 64.6% 28.9% 6.5% Biden +35.8
Average 64.5% 28.6% 6.8% Biden +35.9
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
MassInc Oct 23–30, 2020 929 (LV) 28% 62% - - 8% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,848 (LV) 28% 70% - -
YouGov/UMass Amherst Oct 14–21, 2020 713 (LV) 29% 64% - - 3% 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,655 (LV) 32% 66% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,286 (LV) 29% 69% - - 2%
Emerson College/WHDH Aug 25–27, 2020 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 31% 69% - -
MassINC/WBUR Aug 6–9, 2020 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 27% 63% - - 5% 4%
UMass/YouGov Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 500 (RV) ± 5.9% 28% 61% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,509 (LV) 26% 72% - - 2%
MassINC Jul 17–20, 2020 797 (RV) 23% 55% - - 10% 12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,091 (LV) 27% 71% - - 2%
Emerson College/7 News May 4–5, 2020 740 (RV) ± 3.5% 33% 67% - -
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 30% 58% - - 7% 4%
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Apr 4–7, 2019 761 (RV) ± 3.5% 31% 69% - -
Former candidates
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Apr 4–7, 2019 761 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 64%
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Archived April 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Apr 4–7, 2019 761 (RV) ± 3.5% 37% 63%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,382,202 65.60 +4.62
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,167,202 32.14 –0.67
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
47,013 1.29 –2.93
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
18,658 0.51 –0.95
Write-in 16,327 0.45 –1.07
Total votes 3,631,402 100% +1.49
Democratic win
Treemap of the 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts.
Biden:
     50-60%      60-70%
     70-80%      80-90%

By county

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts (by county)
County Joe Biden

Democratic

Donald Trump

Republican

Jo Jorgensen

Libertarian

Howie Hawkins

Green

Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # # # %
Barnstable 91,994 60.72% 55,311 36.50% 1,856 638 36,683 24.22% 151,512
Berkshire 51,705 72.04% 18,064 25.17% 927 465 33,641 46.87% 71,771
Bristol 153,377 54.51% 119,872 42.90% 3,667 1,427 33,505 11.61% 281,364
Dukes 9,914 77.04% 2,631 20.44% 138 82 7,283 56.60% 12,873
Essex 267,198 62.93% 144,837 34.11% 5,356 1,899 122,361 28.82% 424,599
Franklin 30,030 69.83% 11,201 26.05% 692 380 18,829 43.78% 43,003
Hampden 125,948 57.04% 87,318 39.54% 2,971 1,166 38,630 17.50% 220,793
Hampshire 63,362 71.73% 22,281 25.22% 1,086 768 41,081 46.51% 88,332
Middlesex 617,196 71.00% 226,956 26.11% 10,649 4,484 390,240 44.89% 869,347
Nantucket 5,241 71.42% 1,914 26.08% 81 41 3,327 45.34% 7,338
Norfolk 273,312 66.49% 125,294 30.48% 5,191 1,753 148,018 36.01% 411,042
Plymouth 173,630 57.14% 121,227 39.89% 4,310 1,324 52,403 17.25% 303,870
Suffolk 270,522 80.22% 58,613 17.38% 2,959 1,695 211,909 62.84% 337,240
Worcester 248,773 57.20% 171,683 39.47% 7,130 2,536 77,090 17.73% 434,921

By congressional district

Biden won all nine congressional districts, breaking 60% of the vote in eight of them.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 36.9% 61.1% Richard Neal
2nd 36% 61.8% Jim McGovern
3rd 34.6% 63.4% Lori Trahan
4th 33.7% 64.5% Joe Kennedy III
Jake Auchincloss
5th 23.9% 74.5% Katherine Clark
6th 35.6% 62.6% Seth Moulton
7th 13.3% 85.3% Ayanna Pressley
8th 32.2% 66.2% Stephen Lynch
9th 40.3% 57.9% Bill Keating

Analysis

Massachusetts has been a Democratic-leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and has maintained extremely large Democratic margins since 1996. This remained true in 2020, with Massachusetts being one of six states (along with Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, California, and New York) to give Biden over 60% of the vote. Massachusetts is ethnically diverse, highly urbanized, highly educated, and among the least religious states.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Massachusetts came from college-educated voters, which he won with 74% of the vote, which carries particular weight in Massachusetts, as the state contains the highest proportion of graduates in the country. Trump's slip among suburban white voters led Biden to carry almost every municipality in the Greater Boston area by at least 60% or more, while Trump carried only several towns on the South Shore and in Central Massachusetts. Biden won 301 of the 351 municipalities. Biden swept all demographic groups, garnering 63% of whites, 84% of Latinos, 58% of Catholics, 56% of Protestants, and 86% of Jewish voters. Additionally, Biden won 52% of whites without a college degree within the state, one of Trump's strongest demographics elsewhere in the country. While Biden overwhelmingly carried Latino voters in the state, Trump improved on his 2016 performance in heavily Hispanic cities such as Lawrence, Chelsea, and Holyoke. Trump had the worst vote share in Massachusetts of any Republican nominee since Bob Dole in 1996, and slightly underperformed George W. Bush's 32.5% vote share in 2000.

Massachusetts was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being California, Maryland, New York and Illinois.

See also


This page was last updated at 2023-12-08 15:41 UTC. Update now. View original page.

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