2022 California gubernatorial election

2022 California gubernatorial election

← 2021 (recall) November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout50.80% Decrease 12.48pp
 
Nominee Gavin Newsom Brian Dahle
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 6,470,104 4,462,914
Percentage 59.2% 40.8%

Newsom:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Dahle:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Gavin Newsom
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic

The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022. Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was re-elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.

The elections featured universal mail-in ballots; in-person voting was also available. All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election. Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and the first time the Democratic candidate failed to win 60% of the vote since 2014. Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018, namely Lake, Merced (although Merced voted to recall Newsom), Orange, San Bernardino, and San Joaquin. Dahle received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County, the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014. Dahle also managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats (CA-09 and CA-47). This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Anthony Fanara, restaurant owner
  • Armando Perez-Serrato, businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • Joel Ventresca, former Service Employees International Union committee member, retired airport analyst and perennial candidate

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman
  • Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)
  • Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney
  • Ron Jones, former police officer
  • Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for California's 25th congressional district in 2020
  • Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive
  • Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • Lonnie Sortor, business owner
  • Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

  • Jeff Scott (write-in)

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

  • Serge Fiankan, small business owner
  • James G. Hanink, former Loyola Marymount University philosophy professor and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  • Woodrow Sanders III, entrepreneur and engineer
  • Frederic C. Schultz, attorney
  • Reinette Senum, former mayor of Nevada City
  • Michael Shellenberger, environmental policy writer and Democratic candidate for governor in 2018
  • Bradley Zink, children's book author

Withdrew

Endorsements

Brian Dahle (R)
James G. Hanink (NPP)
Political Parties
Individuals
Luis J. Rodriguez (G)
Newspapers and other media
  • People’s Tribune
  • Tribuno del Pueblo
Organizations
Michael Shellenberger (NPP)
Organizations
Individuals

Primary election

The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the Secretary of State.

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
(R) Ronald Anderson
(G) Heather Collins
(R) Shawn Collins
(R) Brian Dahle
(D) Anthony Fanara
(I) Serge Fiankan
(I) James Hanink
(R) Ron Jones
(R) Jenny Rae Le Roux
(R) David Lozano
(R) Daniel Mercuri
(R) Cristian Raul Morales
(R) Robert Newman II
(D) Gavin Newsom
(D) Armando Perez-Serrato
(G) Luis Javier Rodriguez
(I) Woodrow Sanders III
(I) Frederic Schultz
(I) Reinette Senum
(I) Michael Shellenberger
(R) Lonnie Sortor
(R) Anthony Trimino
(D) Joel Ventresca
(R) Major Williams
(R) Leo Zacky
(I) Bradley Zink
Undecided
Berkeley IGS May 24–31, 2022 3,438 (LV) ± 2.2% 1% 0% 3% 10% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 50% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% 16%
SurveyUSA May 13–15, 2022 709 (LV) ± 4.5% 7% 2% 5% 7% 5% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 40% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 18%

Results

Results by county
 Newsom
  •  20–30%
  •  30–40%
  •  40–50%
  •  50–60%
  •  60–70%
  •  70–80%
 Dahle
  •  30–40%
  •  40–50%
  •  50–60%
  •  60–70%
Primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gavin Newsom (incumbent) 3,945,728 55.9
Republican Brian Dahle 1,252,800 17.7
No party preference Michael Shellenberger 290,286 4.1
Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux 246,665 3.5
Republican Anthony Trimino 246,322 3.5
Republican Shawn Collins 173,083 2.5
Green Luis J. Rodriguez 124,672 1.8
Republican Leo S. Zacky 94,521 1.3
Republican Major Williams 92,580 1.3
Republican Robert C. Newman II 82,849 1.2
Democratic Joel Ventresca 66,885 0.9
Republican David Lozano 66,542 0.9
Republican Ronald A. Anderson 53,554 0.8
No party preference Reinette Senum 53,015 0.8
Democratic Armando Perez-Serrato 45,474 0.6
Republican Ron Jones 38,337 0.5
Republican Daniel R. Mercuri 36,396 0.5
Green Heather Collins 29,690 0.4
Democratic Anthony Fanara 25,086 0.4
Republican Cristian Raul Morales 22,304 0.3
Republican Lonnie Sortor 21,044 0.3
No party preference Frederic C. Schultz 17,502 0.2
No party preference Woodrow Sanders III 16,204 0.2
No party preference James G. Hanink 10,110 0.1
No party preference Serge Fiankan 6,201 0.1
No party preference Bradley Zink 5,997 0.1
American Independent Jeff Scott (write-in) 13 0.0
Republican Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in) 8 0.0
Total votes 7,063,868 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Solid D October 26, 2022
Inside Elections Solid D November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D November 7, 2022
Politico Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News Solid D May 12, 2022
538 Solid D November 8, 2022
Elections Daily Safe D November 7, 2022

Debates

Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate.

2022 California gubernatorial debate
No. Date Host Moderators Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Gavin Newsom Brian Dahle
1 October 23, 2022 KQED Scott Shafer
Marisa Lagos
YouTube P P

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Other
Margin
Real Clear Politics September 22 – October 23, 2022 November 3, 2022 55.0% 34.3% 10.7% Newsom +20.7
FiveThirtyEight September 2 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 59.6% 38.7% 1.7% Newsom +20.9
270ToWin October 27 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 57.4% 37.0% 5.6% Newsom +20.4
Average 57.3% 36.7% 6.0% Newsom +20.6
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 56% 37% 7%
USC October 30 – November 2, 2022 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 62% 38%
UC Berkeley October 25–31, 2022 5,972 (LV) ± 2.0% 58% 37% 4%
ActiVote July 29 – October 27, 2022 200 (LV) ± 7.0% 61% 39%
Public Policy Institute of California October 14–23, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 5.4% 55% 36% 4% 5%
SurveyUSA October 7–10, 2022 1,013 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 35% 8%
UC Berkeley September 22–27, 2022 6,939 (LV) ± 2.5% 53% 32% 2% 13%
Public Policy Institute of California September 2–11, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 5.4% 58% 31% 5% 7%
UC Berkeley August 9–15, 2022 9,254 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 25% 4% 19%
6,321 (LV) ± 2.4% 55% 31% 3% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Faulconer (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 49% 27% 24%
Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
John
Cox (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 51% 26% 23%
Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Larry
Elder (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 52% 30% 18%
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Kiley (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 50% 25% 25%

Results

2022 California gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gavin Newsom (incumbent) 6,470,104 59.18% −2.77
Republican Brian Dahle 4,462,914 40.82% +2.77
Total votes 10,933,018 100.00% N/A
Turnout 10,933,018 50.80% −12.48
Registered electors 21,940,274
Democratic hold
By county
County Gavin Newsom
Democratic
Brian Dahle
Republican
Margin Total
votes
# % # % # %
Alameda 387,046 79.32 100,923 20.68 286,123 58.64 487,969
Alpine 363 58.64 256 41.36 107 17.29 619
Amador 6,027 32.31 12,628 67.69 -6,601 -35.38 18,655
Butte 31,502 43.49 40,939 56.51 -9,437 -13.03 72,441
Calaveras 7,103 33.44 14,137 66.56 -7,034 -33.12 21,240
Colusa 1,553 27.92 4,009 72.08 -2,456 -44.16 5,562
Contra Costa 265,371 68.31 123,132 31.69 142,239 36.61 388,503
Del Norte 3,264 38.97 5,111 61.03 -1,847 -22.05 8,375
El Dorado 34,534 38.95 54,137 61.05 -19,603 -22.11 88,671
Fresno 98,417 44.92 120,668 55.08 -22,251 -10.16 219,085
Glenn 1,930 24.34 6,000 75.66 -4,070 -51.32 7,930
Humboldt 29,541 61.80 18,257 38.20 11,284 23.61 47,798
Imperial 16,711 55.95 13,158 44.05 3,553 11.90 29,869
Inyo 3,382 45.23 4,095 54.77 -713 -9.54 7,477
Kern 69,701 36.94 119,002 63.06 -49,301 -26.13 188,703
Kings 9,389 34.89 17,523 65.11 -8,134 -30.22 26,912
Lake 9,771 48.54 10,360 51.46 -589 -2.93 20,131
Lassen 1,444 15.75 7,726 84.25 -6,282 -68.51 9,170
Los Angeles 1,620,053 67.81 769,174 32.19 850,879 35.61 2,389,227
Madera 13,283 35.94 23,678 64.06 -10,395 -28.12 36,961
Marin 95,289 80.03 23,775 19.97 71,514 60.06 119,064
Mariposa 2,944 37.55 4,896 62.45 -1,952 -24.90 7,840
Mendocino 19,031 62.61 11,363 37.39 7,668 25.23 30,394
Merced 25,200 45.59 30,073 54.41 -4,873 -8.82 55,273
Modoc 687 20.13 2,725 79.87 -2,038 -59.73 3,412
Mono 2,493 54.56 2,076 45.44 417 9.13 4,569
Monterey 65,262 63.90 36,867 36.10 28,395 27.80 102,129
Napa 32,437 64.73 17,671 35.27 14,766 29.47 50,108
Nevada 26,655 52.54 24,082 47.46 2,573 5.07 50,737
Orange 464,206 48.51 492,734 51.49 -28,528 -2.98 956,940
Placer 73,619 40.43 108,450 59.57 -34,831 -19.13 182,069
Plumas 3,083 35.71 5,550 64.29 -2,467 -28.58 8,633
Riverside 285,000 47.83 310,901 52.17 -25,901 -4.35 595,901
Sacramento 274,680 57.51 202,933 42.49 71,747 15.02 477,613
San Benito 10,428 53.26 9,150 46.74 1,278 6.53 19,578
San Bernardino 215,391 47.39 239,109 52.61 -23,718 -5.22 454,500
San Diego 574,121 55.78 455,107 44.22 119,014 11.56 1,029,228
San Francisco 257,402 85.38 44,064 14.62 213,338 70.77 301,466
San Joaquin 85,498 48.22 91,827 51.78 -6,329 -3.57 177,325
San Luis Obispo 61,166 51.13 58,464 48.87 2,702 2.26 119,630
San Mateo 185,599 74.98 61,918 25.02 123,681 49.97 247,517
Santa Barbara 80,648 59.57 54,726 40.43 25,922 19.15 135,374
Santa Clara 379,377 70.01 162,518 29.99 216,859 40.02 541,895
Santa Cruz 79,117 75.95 25,052 24.05 54,065 51.90 104,169
Shasta 18,607 27.16 49,913 72.84 -31,306 -45.69 68,520
Sierra 529 34.28 1,014 65.72 -485 -31.43 1,543
Siskiyou 6,326 35.69 11,397 64.31 -5,071 -28.61 17,723
Solano 77,769 59.54 52,850 40.46 24,919 19.08 130,619
Sonoma 140,041 70.92 57,413 29.08 82,628 41.85 197,454
Stanislaus 55,311 42.23 75,656 57.77 -20,345 -15.53 130,967
Sutter 9,082 32.31 19,024 67.69 -9,942 -35.37 28,106
Tehama 5,024 24.35 15,607 75.65 -10,583 -51.30 20,631
Trinity 1,860 41.09 2,667 58.91 -807 -17.83 4,527
Tulare 33,273 36.43 58,053 63.57 -24,780 -27.13 91,326
Tuolumne 8,471 36.47 14,759 63.53 -6,288 -27.07 23,230
Ventura 153,226 54.54 127,709 45.46 25,517 9.08 280,935
Yolo 44,328 66.03 22,807 33.97 21,521 32.06 67,135
Yuba 6,534 33.28 13,097 66.72 -6,563 -33.43 19,631
Totals 6,470,099 59.18 4,462,910 40.82 2,007,189 18.36 10,933,009
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats.

District Newsom Dahle Representative
1st 33% 67% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 71% 29% Jared Huffman
3rd 43% 57% Kevin Kiley
4th 63% 37% Mike Thompson
5th 37% 63% Tom McClintock
6th 54% 46% Ami Bera
7th 64% 36% Doris Matsui
8th 74% 26% John Garamendi
9th 48% 52% Josh Harder
10th 65% 35% Mark DeSaulnier
11th 86% 14% Nancy Pelosi
12th 90% 10% Barbara Lee
13th 46% 54% John Duarte
14th 68% 32% Eric Swalwell
15th 76% 24% Jackie Speier (117th Congress)
Kevin Mullin (118th Congress)
16th 73% 27% Anna Eshoo
17th 71% 29% Ro Khanna
18th 68% 32% Zoe Lofgren
19th 65% 35% Jimmy Panetta
20th 30% 70% Kevin McCarthy
21st 51% 49% Jim Costa
22nd 48% 52% David Valadao
23rd 39% 61% Jay Obernolte
24th 59% 41% Salud Carbajal
25th 53% 47% Raul Ruiz
26th 54% 46% Julia Brownley
27th 49% 51% Mike Garcia
28th 63% 37% Judy Chu
29th 73% 27% Tony Cárdenas
30th 75% 25% Adam Schiff
31st 58% 42% Grace Napolitano
32nd 66% 34% Brad Sherman
33rd 55% 45% Pete Aguilar
34th 82% 18% Jimmy Gomez
35th 55% 45% Norma Torres
36th 67% 33% Ted Lieu
37th 85% 15% Karen Bass (117th Congress)
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (118th Congress)
38th 58% 42% Linda Sánchez
39th 55% 45% Mark Takano
40th 45% 55% Young Kim
41st 45% 55% Ken Calvert
42nd 67% 33% Lucille Roybal-Allard (117th Congress)
Robert Garcia (118th Congress)
43rd 78% 22% Maxine Waters
44th 69% 31% Nanette Barragán
45th 49% 51% Michelle Steel
46th 60% 40% Lou Correa
47th 49.7% 50.3% Katie Porter
48th 38% 62% Darrell Issa
49th 50.4% 49.6% Mike Levin
50th 61% 39% Scott Peters
51st 60% 40% Sara Jacobs
52nd 63% 37% Juan Vargas

This page was last updated at 2023-11-14 00:34 UTC. Update now. View original page.

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