2022 Florida gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 53.6% 9 pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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DeSantis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Party governor Ron DeSantis won re-election in a landslide and defeated the Democratic Party nominee, former U.S. representative Charlie Crist, who previously served as governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican and later as an Independent. No Democrat has been elected governor of Florida since 1994.
According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans. DeSantis' large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006; this was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His near 20% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over one million votes.
Significantly, Crist's 40% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won the other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters. He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all time record for a gubernatorial candidate.
Some analysts believe that this election indicates that Florida has transitioned from being a Republican-leaning swing state into a reliable red state.
Qualifying for the ballot
To qualify for the ballot in Florida, partisan candidates must first file with the Division of Elections of the Florida Department of State. After filing, a candidate must then qualify for the ballot by a deadline by either paying qualifying fees totaling 6% of the salary of the position sought, or obtaining sufficiently many signatures. Not all candidates who filed to run for governor subsequently qualified to appear on the ballot.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ron DeSantis, incumbent governor
Failed to qualify
- John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official and candidate for governor in 2018
- Donald J. Peterson, marijuana activist
Declined
- Roger Stone, political consultant
Endorsements
- U.S. senators
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida (2019–present), previously Governor (2011-2019)
- Organizations
- American Seniors Association
- Americans for Prosperity
- Associated Industries of Florida
- Club for Growth
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police
- Florida Police Benevolent Association
- Florida Police Chiefs Association
- Florida Professional Firefighters
- Florida Sheriffs Conference
- National Defense PAC
- Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former Republican governor of Florida and former attorney general of Florida
Eliminated in primary
- Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture
- Cadance Daniel, consultant
- Robert Lee Willis, teacher and Baptist minister
Failed to qualify
- Robert Conner
- Ivan Graham, dentist
- Carlos Enrique Gutierrez, property manager and candidate for mayor of Miami Beach in 2021
- Jonathan Karns, businessman
- Alex Lundmark, real estate agent and candidate for governor in 2018
- Christine Powers
- Randy Zapata, legal advocate
Withdrawn
- Richard Dembinsky, engineer and candidate for state senate in 2016
- David Nelson Freeman, businessman
- Timothy Mosley, charity founder
- Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 (running for Florida's 27th congressional district) (endorsed Crist)
Declined
- Dave Aronberg, Palm Beach County state attorney and former state senator
- Lauren Book, state senator
- Randolph Bracy, state senator (running for Florida's 10th congressional district)
- Val Demings, U.S. representative (running for U.S. Senate)
- Anna Eskamani, state representative
- Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach and former state house minority leader (endorsed Crist)
- Andrew Gillum, former mayor of Tallahassee and nominee for governor in 2018
- Rebekah Jones, former Florida Department of Health analyst (endorsed Fried)
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative (endorsed Crist)
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative
- Jason Pizzo, state senator
- Sean Shaw, state representative and nominee for attorney general in 2018 (endorsed Crist)
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from Florida's 14th congressional district
- Jim Davis, former U.S. representative from Florida's 11th congressional district and Democratic nominee for governor of Florida in 2006
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative from Florida's 5th congressional district
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. representative from California's 12th congressional district
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative for Florida's 23rd congressional district
- State officials
- Bob Butterworth, former Florida attorney general
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida
- State legislators
- Christopher Benjamin, state representative
- Lori Berman, state senator
- Annie Betancourt, former state representative and Democratic nominee for Florida's 25th congressional district in 2002
- Kevin Chambliss, state representative
- Tracie Davis, state representative
- Ben Diamond, state representative
- Fentrice Driskell, state representative
- Nick Duran, state representative
- Anna Eskamani, state representative
- Terry L. Fields, former state representative
- Joe Geller, state representative
- Audrey Gibson, state senator and former state senate minority leader
- Michael Gottlieb, state representative
- Michael Grieco, state representative
- Dianne Hart, state representative
- Yvonne Hayes Hinson, state representative
- Tony Hill, former state senator
- Daryl Jones, former state senator
- Shevrin Jones, state senator
- Arthenia Joyner, former state senator and former state senate minority leader
- Janet C. Long, state representative
- Travaris McCurdy, state representative
- Jason Pizzo, state senator
- Tina Polsky, state senator
- Bobby Powell, state senator
- Felicia Robinson, state representative
- Sean Shaw, former state representative and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2018
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, state representative
- Annette Taddeo, state senator, withdrawn candidate in this election
- Perry Thurston, former state senator
- Susan Valdes, state representative
- Marie Woodson, state representative
- Local officials
- Larry Brinson, Ocoee city commissioner
- Daniella Levine Cava, mayor of Miami-Dade County
- Ron Feinsod, mayor of Venice
- Reggie Gaffney, Jacksonville city councilman
- Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach
- Steven Geller, mayor of Broward County
- Sally A. Heyman, Miami-Dade County commissioner
- Dorothy Inman-Johnson, former mayor of Tallahassee
- Kenny Johnson, Palm Bay vice mayor
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar and candidate for president in 2020
- Gwendolyn M. Miller, former Tampa city councilor
- Les Miller, Hillsborough County commissioner, former state senate minority leader, and state house minority leader
- Lauren Poe, mayor of Gainesville
- Harold Pryor, Broward County state attorney
- Hazelle P. Rogers, mayor of Lauderdale Lakes
- Tim Ryan, Broward County commissioner
- Mike Suarez, former Tampa city councilman
- Ken Welch, mayor of St. Petersburg
- Organizations
- Sierra Club Florida
- Labor unions
- 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East
- American Federation of Government Employees
- Communications Workers of America
- Florida AFL–CIO
- Florida Education Association
- Service Employees International Union Florida
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1625
- Newspapers
- Miami Herald
- Orlando Sentinel
- The Palm Beach Post
- Sarasota Herald-Tribune
- Sun-Sentinel
- Tampa Bay Times
- Individuals
- Mac Stipanovich, political strategist and lobbyist
- State legislators
- Kristen Arrington, state representative
- Joseph Casello, state representative
- Margaret Good, former state representative
- Cindy Polo, former state representative
- Kelly Skidmore, state representative
- Jennifer Webb, former state representative
- Individuals
- L. Felice Gorordo, CEO of eMerge Americas
- Fred Guttenberg, gun control activist
- Rebekah Jones, former GIS manager for the Florida Department of Health
- Organizations
- U.S. representatives
- State legislators
- Kevin Chambliss, state representative
- Cindy Lerner, former state representative
- Juan-Carlos Planas, former state representative (Republican)
- Ricardo Rangel, former state representative
- Victor M. Torres Jr., state senator
- Local officials
- Brian Corey, South Miami city commissioner
- Luis Gil, South Miami city commissioner
- Michael Góngora, former Miami Beach commissioner
- Paul Hernández, former Hialeah city councilman
- Daniella Levine Cava, mayor of Miami-Dade County
- Josh Liebman, South Miami city commissioner
- Joy Malakoff, former Miami Beach commissioner
- Amy Mercado, Orange County property appraiser
- Jean Monestime, Miami-Dade County commissioner
- Sally Phillips, mayor of South Miami
- David Richardson, Miami Beach city commissioner
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Maria Cardona, political strategist
Polling
- Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Charlie Crist |
Nikki Fried |
Other |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | February 7 – June 17, 2022 | June 20, 2022 | 40.0% | 23.3% | 36.7% | Crist +16.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist |
Nikki Fried |
Annette Taddeo |
Other | Undecided | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 20–21, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 59% | 30% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change Research (D) Archived January 27, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 12–14, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 8–12, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 43% | 47% | – | 5% | 6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 8–9, 2022 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | – | – | 23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2022 | 1,361 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 56% | 24% | – | – | 20% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GBAO (D) | July 27–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | – | – | 12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kaplan Strategies | July 6, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 39% | – | – | 22% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GBAO (D) | June 23–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 34% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | June 16–17, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 24% | – | – | 27% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Global Strategy Group (D) | June 8–13, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 34% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taddeo withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | May 2–3, 2022 | 1,859 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 52% | 19% | 5% | – | 24% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sachs Media Group | April 8–10, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 35% | 20% | 4% | – | 41% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–20, 2022 | 271 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 8% | 44% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 27% | 3% | – | 26% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alvarado Strategies (R) | February 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 25% | 6% | 10% | 23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GBAO (D) | January 26–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 28% | 7% | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
56% | 33% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) | January 26–27, 2022 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 34% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 10–11, 2021 | 274 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 33% | 36% | – | – | 31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 245 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 38% | 27% | – | 5% | 30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Political Matrix (R) | June 9–11, 2021 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 31% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | May 24–26, 2021 | 2,752 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 55% | 22% | – | 11% | 12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 232 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 53% | 30% | – | 17% | – | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SEA Polling (D) | April 15–20, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 26% | 13% | – | 34% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charlie Crist | 904,524 | 59.71% | |
Democratic | Nicole "Nikki" Fried | 535,480 | 35.35% | |
Democratic | Cadance Daniel | 38,198 | 2.52% | |
Democratic | Robert L. Willis | 36,786 | 2.43% | |
Total votes | 1,513,180 | 100.0% |
Running mate selection
In June 2022, Politico released a shortlist of 18 people who Crist was considering as his running mate. On August 26, four days after Crist won the gubernatorial primary, CBS News reported that he had selected Karla Hernández-Mats, one of the people on the Politico shortlist.
Selected
- Karla Hernández-Mats, president of the United Teachers of Dade
On shortlist
- María Celeste Arrarás, journalist and former Telemundo news anchor
- Manny Diaz, chair of the Florida Democratic Party and former mayor of Miami
- Fentrice Driskell, state representative and minority leader-designate for the 2024-2026 legislative session
- Anna Eskamani, state representative
- Anne Gannon, Palm Beach County Tax Collector and former state representative
- Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach, former state senator, and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2010
- Jennifer Jenkins, Brevard County school board member
- Shevrin Jones, state senator
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative for Florida's 5th congressional district
- Amy Mercado, Orange County Property Appraiser and former state representative
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar and candidate for president in 2020
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative for Florida's 26th congressional district
- Tina Polsky, state senator
- Bobby Powell, state senator
- Mary Ann Ruiz, attorney
- Sean Shaw, former state representative and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2018
- Marie Woodson, state representative
Independent and third-party candidates
Green Party
Withdrawn
- Brian Moore, activist and perennial candidate (running for state senate)
Independent Party
Withdrawn
- Gizmo Wexler, IT administrator
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Hector Roos
Declined
- Roger Stone, political activist and consultant
Independent candidates
Declared
- Carmen Jackie Gimenez
Failed to qualify
- Eugene H. Steele, attorney
Withdrawn
- Mark B. Graham, computer technician and candidate for president in 2016
- Frank Hughes Jr., education consultant
- Jodi Gregory Jeloudov
Declined
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative
Write-ins
Declared
- Piotr Blass, perennial candidate
- James Thompson, pastor
General election
Debates and forums
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Ron DeSantis | Charlie Crist | |||||
1 | October 24, 2022 | WPEC-TV | Liz Quirantes | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Inside Elections | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | October 31, 2022 |
Politico | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP | Lean R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538 | Solid R | October 18, 2022 |
Elections Daily | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
- Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pompeo, 70th United States Secretary of State (2018–2021)
- U.S. senators
- George LeMieux, former U.S. senator from Florida (2009–2011)
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present)
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida (2019–present)
- U.S. representatives
- Kat Cammack, U.S. representative from Florida's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)
- Mario Díaz-Balart, U.S. representative from Florida's 25th congressional district (2003–present)
- State officials
- Jeff Atwater, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2011–2017)
- Charles H. Bronson, former Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2001–2011)
- Dane Eagle, Secretary of the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity
- Stephanie Kopelousos, former secretary of the Florida Department of Transportation (2007–2011)
- Jeff Kottkamp, former lieutenant governor of Florida (2007–2011)
- Bill McCollum, former Florida attorney general (2007–2011)
- State legislators
- Ken Pruitt, former state representative
- Local officials
- Dave Kerner, member of the Palm Beach County Commission from the 3rd District (2016–present); former state representative from the 87th district (2012–2016) (Democrat)
- Individuals
- Jason Gonzalez, former General Counsel for Governor Crist
- Charlie Kirk, activist and founder of Turning Point USA
- Jorge Masvidal, professional mixed martial artist
- Organizations
- American Seniors Association
- Americans for Prosperity
- Associated Industries of Florida
- Club for Growth
- Combat Veterans for Congress
- Everglades Trust
- Florida Farm Bureau
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police
- Florida Police Benevolent Association
- Florida Police Chiefs Association
- Florida Professional Firefighters
- Florida Sheriffs Conference
- National Defense PAC
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present)
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)
- U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from Florida's 14th congressional district
- Jim Davis, former U.S. representative from Florida's 11th congressional district (1997–2007) and Democratic nominee for governor of Florida in 2006
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative from Florida's 5th congressional district (2017–present)
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. representative from California's 12th congressional district
- Darren Soto, U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative for Florida's 23rd congressional district
- State officials
- Bob Butterworth, former Florida attorney general (1987–2003)
- Gavin Newsom, Governor of California (2019–present)
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)
- State legislators
- Crist kept his legislative endorsements going into the general election.
- Local officials
- Larry Brinson, Ocoee city commissioner
- Daniella Levine Cava, mayor of Miami-Dade County
- Ron Feinsod, mayor of Venice
- Reggie Gaffney, Jacksonville city councilman
- Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach
- Steven Geller, mayor of Broward County
- Sally A. Heyman, Miami-Dade County commissioner
- Dorothy Inman-Johnson, former mayor of Tallahassee
- Kenny Johnson, Palm Bay vice mayor
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar and candidate for president in 2020
- Gwendolyn M. Miller, former Tampa city councilor
- Les Miller, Hillsborough County commissioner, former state senate minority leader, and state house minority leader
- Lauren Poe, mayor of Gainesville
- Harold Pryor, Broward County state attorney
- Hazelle P. Rogers, mayor of Lauderdale Lakes
- Tim Ryan, Broward County commissioner
- Mike Suarez, former Tampa city councilman
- Ken Welch, mayor of St. Petersburg
- Individuals
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East
- American Federation of Government Employees
- Communications Workers of America
- Florida AFL–CIO
- Florida Education Association
- Service Employees International Union Florida
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1625
- Newspapers
- Miami Herald
- Orlando Sentinel
- Orlando Weekly
- The Palm Beach Post
- Sarasota Herald-Tribune
- Sun-Sentinel
- Tampa Bay Times
- Individuals
- Mac Stipanovich, political strategist and lobbyist
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 17 – November 6, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.4% | 42.2% | 3.4% | DeSantis +12.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | October 30, 2022 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.5% | 42.4% | 3.0% | DeSantis +12.1 |
270 to win | November 4–7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.0% | 41.8% | 4.2% | DeSantis +12.2 |
Average | 54.3% | 42.1% | 3.6% | DeSantis +12.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 41% | 2% | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,436 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 42% | 2% | – |
Amber Integrated (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 40% | 4% | 4% |
Civiqs | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 1, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 43% | 1% | 3% |
Siena College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 42% | – | 3% |
Victory Insights | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 41% | – | 5% |
Florida State University/YouGov | October 20–31, 2022 | 1,117 (RV) | – | 53% | 43% | – | – |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | October 27–28, 2022 | 633 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
University of North Florida Archived November 10, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | October 17–24, 2022 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 55% | 41% | 2% | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,251 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 42% | 1% | 2% |
Florida Atlantic University | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 40% | 4% | 5% |
Sachs Media | October 15, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
RMG Research (R) Archived November 15, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | October 10–13, 2022 | 685 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | September 26–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 21, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
Siena College | September 18–25, 2022 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 2% | 7% |
Civiqs | September 17–20, 2022 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 45% | 1% | 2% |
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 7% |
Sachs Media | September 10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 51% | 45% | – | 4% |
Survey Monkey (D) | September 9–10, 2022 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
563 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% | ||
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 42% | – | 7% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 5–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) | August 29 – September 4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | August 24–31, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) | August 25–30, 2022 | 3,017 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Impact Research (D) | August 12–18, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 46% | – | 3% |
Cherry Communications (R) | August 4–15, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 42% | 6% | 2% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | May 27 – June 4, 2022 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | – |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R) | Mid-May 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Phillips Academy | May 7–9, 2022 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 36% | 35% | – | 30% |
Saint Leo University | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | February 23, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 34% | – | 11% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 0% | 8% |
St. Pete Polls | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 45% | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 37% | 5% | 9% |
842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 40% | 4% | 7% | ||
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 35% | – | 18% |
VCreek/AMG (R) | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 39% | 2% | 12% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
RMG Research | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | – | 17% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 5% | 9% |
977 (LV) | 48% | 38% | 5% | 8% | |||
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 57% | – | – |
Change Research (D) | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
Cherry Communications (R) | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) | August 4–15, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 43% | 5% | 2% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
Saint Leo University Archived April 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 27% | – | 22% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | February 23, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 32% | – | 12% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 0% | 9% |
St. Pete Polls | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 35% | 4% | 8% |
842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 37% | 4% | 7% | ||
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 33% | – | 21% |
VCreek/AMG (R) | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 36% | 5% | 11% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
RMG Research | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 38% | – | 21% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
977 (LV) | 48% | 38% | 3% | 10% | |||
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
Change Research (D) | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
Cherry Communications (R) | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 61% | 39% | – | – |
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | March 22–24, 2021 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Annette Taddeo (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University Archived April 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 30% | 22% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 28% | 25% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Data for Progress (D) | September 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 38% | – |
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 46% | – |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis (incumbent) Jeanette Nuñez (incumbent) |
4,614,210 | 59.37% | +9.78% | |
Democratic | Charlie Crist Karla Hernandez |
3,106,313 | 39.97% | -9.22% | |
Independent | Carmen Jackie Gimenez Kyle "KC" Gibson |
31,577 | 0.41% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Hector Roos Jerry "Tub" Rorabaugh |
19,299 | 0.25% | N/A | |
Total votes | 7,771,399 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Turnout | 7,796,916 | 53.76% | |||
Registered electors | 14,503,978 | ||||
Republican hold |
Results by county
By county
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By congressional district
DeSantis won 22 of 28 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.
District | DeSantis | Crist | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 73% | 26% | Matt Gaetz |
2nd | 61% | 38% | Neal Dunn |
3rd | 64% | 35% | Kat Cammack |
4th | 60% | 39% | Aaron Bean |
5th | 65% | 34% | John Rutherford |
6th | 68% | 31% | Michael Waltz |
7th | 60% | 39% | Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress) |
Cory Mills (118th Congress) | |||
8th | 65% | 35% | Bill Posey |
9th | 50% | 49% | Darren Soto |
10th | 41% | 58% | Val Demings (117th Congress) |
Maxwell Frost (118th Congress) | |||
11th | 63% | 37% | Daniel Webster |
12th | 69% | 30% | Gus Bilirakis |
13th | 58% | 41% | Anna Paulina Luna |
14th | 47% | 52% | Kathy Castor |
15th | 59% | 40% | Laurel Lee |
16th | 61% | 38% | Vern Buchanan |
17th | 64% | 35% | Greg Steube |
18th | 69% | 30% | Scott Franklin |
19th | 69% | 30% | Byron Donalds |
20th | 30% | 69% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
21st | 62% | 37% | Brian Mast |
22nd | 48% | 51% | Lois Frankel |
23rd | 50% | 49% | Jared Moskowitz |
24th | 31% | 68% | Frederica Wilson |
25th | 47% | 52% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
26th | 70% | 29% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
27th | 58% | 41% | María Elvira Salazar |
28th | 64% | 36% | Carlos A. Giménez |
Voter demographics
Demographic subgroup | Crist | DeSantis | % of voters | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 35 | 64 | 49 | |
Women | 46 | 53 | 51 | |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 54 | 44 | 7 | |
25–29 years old | 56 | 41 | 4 | |
30–39 years old | 52 | 47 | 13 | |
40–49 years old | 38 | 60 | 12 | |
50–64 years old | 36 | 63 | 32 | |
65 and older | 36 | 64 | 32 | |
Race | ||||
White | 34 | 65 | 64 | |
Black | 86 | 13 | 11 | |
Latino | 40 | 58 | 21 | |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 27 | 72 | 32 | |
White women | 40 | 58 | 32 | |
Black men | 81 | 19 | 5 | |
Black women | 91 | 9 | 6 | |
Latino men | 41 | 57 | 10 | |
Latina women | 39 | 60 | 11 | |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 33 | 67 | 15 | |
Some college education | 41 | 58 | 25 | |
Associate degree | 40 | 59 | 19 | |
Bachelor's degree | 43 | 56 | 24 | |
Advanced degree | 44 | 55 | 17 | |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 95 | 5 | 28 | |
Republicans | 2 | 97 | 42 | |
Independents | 45 | 53 | 30 | |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 90 | 10 | 20 | |
Moderates | 53 | 45 | 39 | |
Conservatives | 6 | 94 | 42 | |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 38 | 62 | 59 | |
Unmarried | 50 | 50 | 41 | |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 32 | 68 | 30 | |
Married women | 44 | 55 | 29 | |
Unmarried men | 49 | 51 | 18 | |
Unmarried women | 50 | 49 | 23 | |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 41 | 59 | 11 | |
No | 43 | 57 | 89 | |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Crime | 35 | 63 | 10 | |
Inflation | 26 | 74 | 39 | |
Gun policy | 62 | 36 | 10 | |
Immigration | 12 | 88 | 10 | |
Abortion | 80 | 19 | 24 | |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 43 | 56 | 46 | |
Suburban | 40 | 58 | 44 | |
Rural | 30 | 70 | 10 | |
Source: CNN |
See also
- Elections in Florida
- Political party strength in Florida
- Florida Democratic Party
- Florida Republican Party
- Government of Florida
- 2022 United States Senate election in Florida
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
- 2022 Florida House of Representatives election
- 2022 Florida Senate election
- 2022 Florida elections
- 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2022 United States elections