Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Given the large number of potential candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, and do not include Republican-leaning independents. The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Open-ended polls are included and marked with an asterisk (*), but closed-ended versions of such polls are listed where possible. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version used for debate qualification is prioritized, then the version among likely voters, then registered voters, then adults.
Background
The Democratic National Committee has determined that candidates may qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019 up until June 12, 2019, or by a fundraising threshold requiring at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states. Should more than 20 candidates meet either threshold, then candidates meeting both thresholds will be given highest priority for entry into the debates, followed by those with the highest polling average and those with the most donors. The pollsters and sponsors of polls designated for consideration by the DNC are the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University.[1] Open-ended polls do not count towards the polling threshold.[2]
For the third and fourth primary debates, candidates will be required to meet both polling and fundraising thresholds, with the prior considering only polls between June 28 and August 28, 2019 and increased to 4 qualifying polls at 2% support, now excluding surveys sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Reuters; the latter requirement has also been increased, to 130,000 unique donors with at least 400 in 20 different states.[3]
Individuals who have been included in national Democratic primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Stacey Abrams, Michael Avenatti, Sherrod Brown, Hillary Clinton, Mark Cuban, Andrew Cuomo, Al Franken, Eric Garcetti, Tim Kaine, Jason Kander, Joe Kennedy III, John Kerry, Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe, Chris Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Howard Schultz, Oprah Winfrey, and Mark Zuckerberg.
Polling in the four early primary states
The following graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the early primary states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina) since February 2019. Data source is the Morning Consult[4] weekly poll archive.[5][6][7]
Primary and caucus calendar
The following dates reflect either the confirmed or expected dates of Democratic primaries and caucuses in 2020. Those for contests in U.S. territories with no date yet set are based on dates estimated by The Green Papers based on past years. The pledged delegate numbers listed below are based on the presidential votes in 2008, 2012, and 2016, as well as the number of electoral votes of each state in 2020. The number of DNC members and distinguished party leaders in the count of unpledged PLEO (party leaders and elected officials) delegates is based on the 2016 Democratic National Convention, while the number of unpledged officeholders (governors, members of Congress, and their equivalents in non-state jurisdictions) reflects their current total. The numbers of pledged delegates do not yet account for delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[8][9][10]
States listed with a lavender background and an asterisk (*) do not yet have a date set by existing statute. States with a light yellow background and a dagger (†) are set to shift their primary or caucus date following the expected passage of legislation moving the dates of their contests. If not already listed as such, the date to which the contest is expected to be moved is listed in parentheses. Party-run primaries (also described as either a firehouse primary or caucus in some jurisdictions) are listed with two asterisks (**).[8][9][10]
Date | State/territory | Type | Eligibility | P | U | T |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 3 | Iowa | Caucus | Closed | 41 | 8 | 49 |
Feb 11 | New Hampshire | Primary | Mixed | 24 | 9 | 33 |
Feb 22 | Nevada | Caucus | Closed | 36 | 12 | 48 |
Feb 29 | South Carolina | Primary | Open | 54 | 9 | 63 |
Mar 3 | Alabama | Primary | Open | 52 | 9 | 61 |
American Samoa* | Caucus | Open | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
Arkansas | Primary | Open | 31 | 5 | 36 | |
California | Primary | Mixed | 416 | 79 | 495 | |
Colorado | Primary | Mixed | 67 | 13 | 80 | |
Maine | Primary | Closed | 24 | 8 | 32 | |
Massachusetts | Primary | Mixed | 91 | 23 | 114 | |
Minnesota | Primary | Closed | 75 | 17 | 92 | |
North Carolina | Primary | Mixed | 110 | 12 | 122 | |
Oklahoma | Primary | Mixed | 37 | 5 | 42 | |
Tennessee | Primary | Open | 64 | 9 | 73 | |
Texas | Primary | Closed | 228 | 34 | 262 | |
Utah | Primary | Mixed | 29 | 6 | 35 | |
Vermont | Primary | Open | 16 | 7 | 23 | |
Virginia | Primary | Open | 99 | 25 | 124 | |
Mar 3–10 | Democrats Abroad | Caucus** | Open | 13 | 4 | 17 |
Mar 10 | Idaho | Primary | Closed | 20 | 5 | 25 |
Michigan | Primary | Open | 125 | 22 | 147 | |
Mississippi | Primary | Open | 36 | 5 | 41 | |
Missouri | Primary | Open | 68 | 10 | 78 | |
North Dakota | Caucus** | Open | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
Washington | Primary | Closed | 89 | 18 | 107 | |
Mar 14 | Northern Marianas* | Caucus | Closed | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Mar 17 | Arizona | Primary | Closed | 67 | 11 | 78 |
Florida | Primary | Closed | 219 | 29 | 248 | |
Illinois | Primary | Open | 155 | 29 | 184 | |
Ohio | Primary | Mixed | 136 | 17 | 153 | |
Mar 24 | Georgia | Primary | Open | 105 | 15 | 120 |
Mar 29 | Puerto Rico | Primary | Open | 51 | 8 | 59 |
Apr 4 | Alaska | Primary** | Closed | 15 | 4 | 18 |
Hawaii | Primary** | Closed | 24 | 9 | 31 | |
Louisiana | Primary | Closed | 54 | 7 | 57 | |
Wyoming | Caucus | Closed | 13 | 4 | 17 | |
Apr 7 | Wisconsin | Primary | Open | 84 | 13 | 90 |
Apr 28 | Connecticut | Primary | Closed | 60 | 15 | 64 |
Delaware | Primary | Closed | 21 | 11 | 28 | |
Maryland | Primary | Closed | 96 | 23 | 102 | |
New York† | Primary | Closed | 273 | 46 | 270 | |
Pennsylvania | Primary | Closed | 186 | 23 | 176 | |
Rhode Island | Primary | Mixed | 26 | 9 | 30 | |
May 2 | Guam* | Caucus | Closed | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Kansas | Primary** | Closed | 39 | 6 | 39 | |
May 5 | Indiana | Primary | Open | 82 | 7 | 77 |
May 12 | Nebraska | Primary | Mixed | 29 | 4 | 29 |
West Virginia | Primary | Mixed | 28 | 6 | 30 | |
May 19 | Kentucky | Primary | Closed | 54 | 6 | 52 |
Oregon | Primary | Closed | 61 | 14 | 66 | |
Jun 2 | District of Columbia† | Primary | Closed | 20 | 26 | 43 |
Montana | Primary | Open | 19 | 6 | 22 | |
New Jersey | Primary | Mixed | 126 | 21 | 128 | |
New Mexico | Primary | Closed | 34 | 11 | 40 | |
South Dakota | Primary | Mixed | 16 | 5 | 19 | |
Jun 6 | Virgin Islands* | Caucus | Closed | 7 | 6 | 13 |
N/A | Unassigned | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
Total delegates | 3,979 | 765 | 4,744 |
Iowa caucus
The Iowa Democratic caucus was held on February 3, 2020.[10]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Feb 3, 2020 | Jan 22 – Feb 2, 2020 | 22.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6%[b] | 5.6% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 3, 2020 | Jan 20 – Feb 2, 2020 | 23.0% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5%[c] | 7.6% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 3, 2020 | until Feb 2, 2020[d] | 22.2% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9%[e] | 6.6% |
Average | 22.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0%[f] | 6.6% | ||
Iowa caucus results, first alignment (February 3, 2020) | 24.7% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.1%[g] | – |
The results of a final poll from The Des Moines Register were not released as scheduled on February 1, after an interviewee complained that Pete Buttigieg was not given as a poll option during their interview, with the omission reportedly attributed to human error. As the polling firm was unable to determine whether the mistake was an isolated incident or not, pollster Ann Selzer decided to withhold the results of the poll altogether, marking the first time in 76 years that the final pre-caucus poll was not released by the Register.[11][12] The poll was later leaked on Twitter, with results confirmed by FiveThirtyEight showing Sanders in the lead with 22%, followed by Warren with 18%, Buttigieg with 16% and Biden with 13%.[13]
Polling from December 1, 2019, to February 3, 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Iowa caucuses (first alignment vote) | Feb 3, 2020 | – | – | 14.9% | 21.3% | 0.2% | 12.7% | 24.7% | 1.7% | 18.5% | 5.1% | 0.9%[i] | – |
Emerson College | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 28% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 2% | – |
Data for Progress [1] | Jan 28 – Feb 2, 2020 | 2,394 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 24%[j] | 22% | – | – | 28% | – | 25% | – | – | – |
18% | 18% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 4% | 19% | 6% | 2%[k] | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS News (MRP) | Jan 22–31, 2020 | 1,835 (RV) | ± 3% | 25% | 21% | [l] | 5% | 25% | [l] | 16% | [l] | [l] | [l] |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46%[m] | – | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 14% |
15% | 19% | 3% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 2%[n] | 12% | ||||
American Research Group | Jan 27–30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 9% | 2% | 16% | 23% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 4%[o] | 6% |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jan 26–29, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 20%[p] | 18% | 1% | 0% | 31% | 2% | 25% | 1% | 1%[q] | 2% |
15% | 15% | 2% | 8% | 28% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 0%[r] | 2% | ||||
Park Street Strategies | Jan 24–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 5% | <1%[s] | 6% |
Monmouth University | Jan 23–27, 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 29%[t] | 20% | – | – | 25% | – | 19% | – | 1%[u] | 6% |
22%[v] | 17% | – | 12% | 22% | – | 16% | 5% | <1%[w] | 6% | ||||
23% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 1%[x] | 5% | ||||
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Jan 23–27, 2020 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 2%[y] | 3%[z] |
Emerson College | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 2%[aa] | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25.4% | 17.6% | 0.8% | 5.6% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 13.6%[ab] | – |
Change Research/Crooked Media | Jan 22–26, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 22%[ac] | 23% | – | – | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | 5% |
18% | 19% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 2%[ad] | – | ||||
Siena College/New York Times | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23%[ae] | 23% | – | – | 30% | – | 19% | – | – | 8%[af] |
17% | 18% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1%[ag] | 8% | ||||
Morningside College | Jan 17–23, 2020 | 253 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 19% | 18% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 2%[ah] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jan 16–23, 2020 | 1401 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 7% | 26% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 2%[ai] | 1% |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jan 19–21, 2020 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 17% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 19% | 5% | 0%[aj] | 5% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Jan 15–18, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 16% | 1% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 2%[ak] | – |
Neighbourhood Research and Media/Breitbart | Jan 14–17, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23% | 17% | –[al] | 11% | 10% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 6%[am] | 13% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28%[an] | 25% | – | – | 24% | – | 16% | – | 2%[ao] | 4% |
24% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 4%[ap] | 5% | ||||
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | January 2–8, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 15% | 16% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 17% | 5% | 2%[aq] | 11% |
YouGov/CBS News | Dec 27, 2019 – Jan 3, 2020 | 953 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 23% | 23% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 2%[ar] | 1% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Dec 12–16, 2019 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 15% | 24% | 3% | 4% | 21% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4%[as] | 4% |
Emerson College | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 325 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 23% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 8%[at] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race |
Polling during November 2019 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Nov 15–19, 2019 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 26% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 18% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 6%[au] | 3% |
Des Moines Register/CNN | Nov 8–13, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 6%[av] | 5% |
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 856 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 22% | 21% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 4%[aw] | – |
Monmouth University | Nov 7–11, 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 19% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 6%[ax] | 8% |
University of Iowa | Oct 28 – Nov 10, 2019 | 465 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 15% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 2%[ay] | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | Nov 5–6, 2019 | 715 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | – | 3% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 21% | 3% | – | 10% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 30 – Nov 5, 2019 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 17% | 3% | 20% | 3% | 4%[az] | 8% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race |
Polling before November 2019 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
Siena College/New York Times | Oct 25–30, 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 22% | 8%[ba] | 6% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Oct 18–22, 2019 | 598 (LV) | ± 5% | 12% | 1% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 28% | 8%[bc] | 4% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Oct 16–18, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 7%[bd] | 29% |
Emerson College | Oct 13–16, 2019 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 23% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 13% | 23% | 15%[be] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 548 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 22% | 2% | 17% | 3% | –[bf] | 1% | 5% | 25% | 26%[bg] | –[bf] |
YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 729 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 22% | 2% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 22% | 7%[bh] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register [2] | Sep 14–18, 2019 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 11%[bi] | 14% |
David Binder Research | Sep 14–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 9%[bj] | 6% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Sep 13–17, 2019 | 572 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 16% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 24% | 11%[bk] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 835 | ± 4.3% | 29% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 17% | 9%[bl] | – |
Change Research | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 621 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 28% | 9%[bm] | – |
Monmouth University | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 3% | <1% | 9% | 19% | 11%[bn] | 10% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 630 | ± 3.3% | 23% | 2% | 7% | 12% | – | 2% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 16% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 706 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 17% | 9%[bo] | – |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 (LV) | – | 16% | 1% | 25% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 18% | 5%[bp] | – |
David Binder Research | Jun 29 – Jul 1, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 20% | 9%[bq] | 9% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 13% | 6%[br] | 21% |
Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 (LV) | – | 27% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 20% | 7%[bs] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | Jun 2–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 16% | 15% | 6%[bt] | 6% |
Change Research | May 15–19, 2019 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 12% | 9%[bu] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 576 | ± 4.1% | 35% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 10% | – | 16% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gravis Marketing | Apr 17–18, 2019 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 7%[bv] | 16% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Apr 4–9, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | 27% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 16% | 7% | 7%[bw] | 12% |
David Binder Research | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 9%[bx] | 7% |
Emerson College | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 249 | ± 6.2% | 25% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 9% | 8%[by] | – |
Public Policy Polling (D)[bz] | Mar 14–15, 2019 | 678 | – | 29% | 4% | – | 5% | 6% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 22% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | Mar 3–6, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 27% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 9% | 5%[ca] | 10% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 558 | ± 3.6% | 25% | 4% | – | 17% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 1%[cb] | 25% |
Emerson College | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 | 260 | ± 6.0% | 29% | 4% | 0% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 15%[cc] | – |
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gabbard announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Dec 13–17, 2018 | 1,291 (LV) | – | 20% | 4% | – | 7% | 5% | 19% | 20% | 7% | 18%[cd] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | Dec 10–13, 2018 | 455 | ± 4.6% | 32% | 4% | – | 5% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 8% | 7%[ce] | 6% |
David Binder Research | Dec 10–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 30% | 6% | – | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 8%[cf] | 6% |
David Binder Research | Sep 20–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 8% | – | 10% | – | – | 12% | 16% | 6%[cg] | 9% |
Yang announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[ch] | Mar 3–6, 2017 | 1,062 | – | – | 17% | – | 3% | 11% | – | – | – | 34%[ci] | 32% |
New Hampshire primary
The New Hampshire Democratic primary was held on February 11, 2020.[10]
Polling aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 4–9, 2020 | 27.3% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9%[cj] | 6.4% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 28.7% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3%[ck] | 6.3% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 10, 2020 | until Feb 10, 2020[d] | 26.0% | 21.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5%[cl] | 5.8% |
Average | 27.3% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2%[cm] | 6.2% | ||
New Hampshire primary results (February 11, 2020) | 25.6% | 24.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 19.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7%[cn] | – |
Polling from January 1, 2020, to February 11, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
New Hampshire primary (popular vote) | Feb 11, 2020 | – | – | 8.4% | 24.3% | 3.3% | 19.7% | 25.6% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 2.7%[co] | – | |||
AtlasIntel | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 431 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 24% | 3% | 14% | 24% | 1% | 11% | 5% | – | 6% | |||
Data For Progress[cp] | Feb 7–10, 2020 | 1296 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 9% | 26% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 3% | 14% | 5% | – | – | |||
American Research Group | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 5%[cq] | 2% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 14% | 30% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 4%[cr] | – | |||
Change Research | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 9% | 21% | 6% | 8% | 30% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 1%[cs] | 9% | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 3%[ct] | 7% | |||
Elucd | Feb 7–9, 2020 | 492 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | 20% | –[cu] | 12% | 26% | –[cv] | 10% | –[cw] | –[cx] | 15% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 22% | 5% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 1%[cy] | 10% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 4%[cz] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 3%[da] | 12% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 512 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 3% | 3%[db] | 13% | |||
YouGov/CBS News | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 848 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 3%[dc] | – | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 384 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 28% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2%[dd] | 11% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 9% | 31% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 3%[de] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 25% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 4%[df] | 9% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 25% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 5%[dg] | 4% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 28% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3%[dh] | 11% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 3%[di] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 4%[dj] | 12% | |||
Marist/NBC News | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 25% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 3%[dk] | 5% | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 1%[dl] | 15% | |||
Monmouth University | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 20% | 4% | 9% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 2%[dm] | 5% | |||
17%[dn] | 22% | – | 13% | 27% | – | 13% | – | 3%[do] | 4% | |||||||
19%[dp] | 28% | – | – | 28% | – | 16% | – | 3%[dq] | 5% | |||||||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 11% | 31% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 2%[dr] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 1%[ds] | 14% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 2–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 32% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 3%[dt] | – | |||
Iowa caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 2–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 3%[du] | 14% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 12% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 4%[dv] | – | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 29% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 2%[dw] | – | |||
Saint Anselm College | Jan 29 – Feb 2, 2020 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2%[dx] | 11% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10[3] | Jan 29 – Feb 1, 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 31% | No voters | 17% | 1% | 5%[dy] | 7% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Jan 28–31, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 1%[dz] | 4% | |||
YouGov/UMass Amherst/WCVB | Jan 17–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 25% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2%[ea] | 3% | |||
American Research Group | Jan 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 8%[eb] | 6% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 29% | 0% | 16% | 1% | 7%[ec] | 9% | |||
Marist/NBC News | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 697 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 2%[ed] | 7% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Jan 15–23, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 2%[ee] | 10% | |||
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR | Jan 17–21, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 29% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 4%[ef] | 5%[eg] | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3%[eh] | 24% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Jan 13–16, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 14% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 23% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 7%[ei] | – | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | – | 26% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 7%[ej] | 12% | |||
Patinkin Research Strategies/Yang 2020[ek] | Jan 5–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 3%[el] | 7% | |||
Monmouth University | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 3%[em] | 7% | |||
21%[en] | 20% | – | 7% | 21% | – | 15% | 5% | 5%[eo] | 8% | |||||||
24%[ep] | 23% | – | – | 21% | – | 18% | – | 5%[eq] | 8% | |||||||
YouGov/CBS News | Dec 27, 2019 – Jan 3, 2020 |
487 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 3%[er] | – |
Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 442 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 1% | 18% | 5% | – | 3% | – | <1% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 11%[es] | 12%[et] |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Nov 22–26, 2019 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 14% | 2% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 2% | – | 0% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 7%[eu] | – |
Boston Globe/Suffolk University | Nov 21–24, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | 16% | 14% | 4% | 6%[ev] | 21% |
Saint Anselm College | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 255 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 3% | 1% | 6% | – | 0% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 5%[ew] | 13% |
Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 535 (RV) | ± 5% | 22% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 20% | 31% | 1% | 1%[ex] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Nov 6–10, 2019 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.8 | 20% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 4% | 5%[ey] | 14% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 574 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 21% | 18% | 5% | 4%[ez] | 10% |
Boston Herald/FPU | Oct 9–13, 2019 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | – | 22% | 25% | 1% | 4%[fa] | 7% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 2% | 7% | –[fb] | 2% | –[fb] | 1% | – | 9% | 25% | 2% | 32% | –[fb] |
YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 506 | ± 5.4% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 17% | 32% | 5% | 5%[fc] | – |
Saint Anselm College | Sep 25–29, 2019 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 24% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 3% | <1% | – | 11% | 25% | 2% | 3%[fd] | 9% |
Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – | 12% | 27% | 2% | 3%[fe] | 9% |
HarrisX/No Labels | Sep 6–11, 2019 | 595 | ± 4.0% | 22% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 21% | 15% | 2% | 5%[ff] | 14% |
Boston Herald/FPU | Sep 4–10, 2019 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | – | 29% | 17% | 5% | 2%[fg] | 9% |
Emerson College | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 483 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 1% | – | 13% | 21% | 3% | 7%[fh] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 526 | ± 5.2% | 26% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 25% | 27% | 1% | 1%[fi] | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 250 | ± 6.2% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | 21% | 12% | 4% | 8%[fj] | 11% |
Suffolk University | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 21% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | – | 17% | 14% | 1% | 6%[fk] | 21% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 587 | ± 3.3% | 21% | 1% | 8% | – | 13% | – | 0% | – | 13% | 16% | 1% | 7% | 19% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 530 | ± 5% | 27% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 2% | – | 20% | 18% | 1% | 5%[fl] | – |
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Jul 8–15, 2019 | 386 | ± 5.0% | 24% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 2% | – | 19% | 19% | 1% | 4%[fm] | 9% |
Saint Anselm College | Jul 10–12, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | 21% | 1% | 12% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 0% | – | 10% | 17% | 5% | 3%[fn] | 11% |
Change Research | Jul 6–9, 2019 | 1,084 | ± 3.0% | 19% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 1% | – | 20% | 22% | 1% | 3%[fo] | – |
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 | – | 13% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 2% | – | 26% | 24% | 2% | 4%[fp] | – |
Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 | – | 24% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 28% | 21% | 1% | 3%[fq] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 502 | ± 4.9% | 33% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 4% | – | 20% | 17% | 1% | 2%[fr] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 1% | – | 12% | 11% | – | – | 28% |
Monmouth University | May 2–7, 2019 | 376 | ± 5.1% | 36% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | 18% | 8% | 1% | 2%[fs] | 11% |
Change Research | May 3–5, 2019 | 864 | ± 3.3% | 26% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | – | 30% | 9% | 2% | 4%[ft] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 1% | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 3% | – | 16% | 9% | – | – | 19% |
Suffolk University | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 20% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | 12% | 8% | 1% | 4%[fu] | 27% |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire | Apr 10–18, 2019 | 241 | ± 6.3% | 18% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | – | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5%[fv] | 12% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Saint Anselm College | Apr 3–8, 2019 | 326 | ± 5.4% | 23% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | – | 16% | 9% | – | 9%[fw] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire | Feb 18–26, 2019 | 240 | ± 6.3% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | – | 26% | 7% | – | 6%[fx] | 14% |
Emerson College | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 405 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 5% | 1% | – | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | 27% | 9% | – | 10%[fy] | – |
Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Feb 7–15, 2019 | 337 | ± 6.4% | 28% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 1% | 6% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 9%[fz] | 9% |
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 518 | ± 4.1% | 22% | 4% | – | – | 13% | 2% | 2% | – | 13% | 9% | – | 0%[ga] | 35% |
Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Gabbard announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research | Jan 2–3, 2019 | 1,162 | – | 24% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 9% | – | 26% | 11% | – | 22%[gb] | – |
University of New Hampshire | Aug 2–19, 2018 | 198 | ± 7.0% | 19% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 30% | 17% | – | 12%[gc] | 12% |
Suffolk University | Apr 26–30, 2018 | 295 | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 4% | – | – | 4% | 13% | 26% | – | 4%[gd] | 18% |
30% | 10% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 8% | 25% | – | – | 6%[ge] | 12% | ||||
University of New Hampshire | Apr 13–22, 2018 | 188 | ± 7.1% | 26% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 1% | – | – | 28% | 11% | – | 9%[gf] | 13% |
University of New Hampshire | Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | 35% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 0% | – | – | 24% | 15% | – | 7%[gg] | 15% |
Yang announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire | Oct 3–15, 2017 | 212 | ± 6.7% | 24% | 6% | – | – | 1% | 1% | – | – | 31% | 13% | – | 14%[gh] | 11% |
Head-to-head polls | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Undecided | |
Tel Opinion Research | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 21% | – | – | 15% | |
66% | – | 22% | – | 13% | |||||
58% | – | – | 29% | 13% | |||||
American Research Group | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 47% | – | 45% | – | 7% | |
58% | – | – | 33% | 8% |
Nevada caucus
The Nevada Democratic caucus is scheduled to take place on February 22, 2020.[10]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tom Steyer |
Amy Klobuchar |
Others | Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win | Feb 20, 2020 | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 30.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 1.3%[gi] | 4.7% | |
RealClear Politics | Feb 21, 2020 | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 29.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | –[gj] | 6.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 21, 2020 | until Feb 21, 2020 [d] | 29.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.1%[gk] | –[gl] | |
Average | 29.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.1%[gm] | 2.9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | – | 14% | – | 5% | – | 38% | 11% | 9% | – | 7%[gn] | 5% |
Emerson College | Feb 19–20, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 16% | – | 17% | – | 11% | – | 30% | 10% | 12% | – | 4%[go] | – |
Early voting by ranked ballot begins in the Nevada caucuses[14] | |||||||||||||||
Beacon Research/Tom Steyer | Feb 12–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 13% | – | 7% | – | 24% | 18% | 10% | – | 4%[gp] | 6% |
Data for Progress[4][A] | Feb 12–15, 2020 | 766 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 14% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | 35% | 10% | 16% | – | 2%[gq] | – |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP Nevada | Feb 11–13, 2020 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 10% | – | 25% | 11% | 13% | – | 5%[gr] | 8% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/USA Today[5] | Jan 8–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 2% | 8% | – | 4% | – | 18% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 4%[gs] | 22% |
MyersResearch/Strategic Services/Yang 2020[B] | Jan 6–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 28% | 2% | 6% | – | – | – | 29% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 2%[gt] | 4% |
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 635 | ± 4.0% | 23% | 3% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 17% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 13%[gu] | 6% |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 33% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% | – | 23% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 2%[gv] | – |
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 627 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 2% | – | 18% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 4%[gw] | 10% |
Emerson Polling | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | – | 19% | 3% | 22% | 5% | 10%[gx] | – |
Mellman Group/The Nevada Independent | Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 3%[gy] | 9% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
CNN/SSRS | Sep 22–26, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 22% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 22% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 3%[gz] | 13% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Sep 19–23, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 23% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 3% | 4%[ha] | 21% |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 9%[hb] | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 382 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 2% | 13%[hc] | 9% |
Change Research | Aug 2–8, 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 26% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 5%[hd] | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 1–21, 2019 | 749 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 10%[he] | – |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Jun 6–11, 2019 | 370 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 36% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 13% | – | 19% | 2% | 3%[hf] | 8% |
Change Research | May 9–12, 2019 | 389 (LV) | – | 29% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 24% | – | 12% | 1% | 4%[hg] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 26% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 10% | 23% | – | 10% | 3% | 9%[hh] | – |
South Carolina primary
The South Carolina Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on February 29, 2020.[10]
Polling aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Others | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Feb 20, 2020 | Feb 9–19, 2020 | 24.5% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8%[hi] | 5.8% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 20, 2020 | Feb 9–19, 2020 | 24.5% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 1.8%[hj] | 11.5% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 20, 2020 | until Feb 19, 2020[d] | 24.3% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 11.1%[hk] | 5.8% |
Average | 24.4% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9%[hl] | 7.9% |
From January 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 23% | – | 11% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 11% | – | 4%[hm] | 4% |
Winthrop University | Feb 9–19, 2020 | 443 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 24% | – | 7% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 1%[hn] | 2%[ho] | 22% |
Change Research/The Welcome Party | Feb 12–14, 2020 | 1015 (LV) | – | 23% | – | 15% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 20% | 9% | – | – | 1% |
East Carolina University | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 7% | – | 0% | 8% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Iowa caucus | ||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Jan 31 – Feb 3, 2020 | 277 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 0%[hp] | 8% |
East Carolina University | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 469 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 37% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0%[hq] | 10% |
Change Research/ Post and Courier |
Jan 26–29, 2020 | 651 (LV) | ± 4% | 25% | – | 7% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 3% | 1%[hr] | 10% |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
GQR Research/Unite the Country[hs] | Jan 9–13, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 36%[ht] | –[hu] | 5%[hv] | –[hw] | –[hx] | 15%[hy] | 12%[hz] | 10%[ia] | –[ib] | –[ic] | –[id] |
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 3%[ie] | 11% |
Until January 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/ Post and Courier |
Dec 6–11, 2019 | 392 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 5% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 5% | 19% | 13%[if] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/FairVote [6] | Nov 22 – Dec 2, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 39% | 2% | 10% | 2% | – | 13% | 7% | 10% | 13%[ig] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 768 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 33% | 2% | 6% | 3% | – | 11% | 5% | 13% | 7%[ih] | 18% |
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 933 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 2% | 8% | 5% | – | 15% | 2% | 17% | 6%[ii] | – |
University of North Florida |
Nov 5–13, 2019 | 426 (LV) | – | 36% | 2% | 3% | 4% | – | 10% | 8% | 10% | 6%[ij] | 23% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Oct 16–21, 2019 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 16% | 7%[ik] | 15% |
Change Research/ Post and Courier |
Oct 15–21, 2019 | 731 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 1% | 13% | 5% | 19% | 11%[il] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Oct 8–10, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 8% | – | 16% | 33%[im] | –[in] |
YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 915 (RV) | ±3.9% | 43% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 2% | 18% | 6%[io] | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 3–7, 2019 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10%[ip] | 19% |
Fox News | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 8%[iq] | 16% |
Winthrop University | Sep 21–30, 2019 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 6%[ir] | 12% |
CNN/SSRS | Sep 22–26, 2019 | 406 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 37% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 16% | 4%[is] | 10% |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 849 (RV)[it] | ± 4.3% | 43% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 18% | 1% | 14% | 9%[iu] | – |
Change Research | Aug 9–12, 2019 | 521 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 16% | 1% | 17% | 7%[iv] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Jul 23–25, 2019 | 554 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 31% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 9% | – | 12% | 8%[iw] | 24% |
Monmouth University | Jul 18–22, 2019 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 9% | 3%[ix] | 17% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 997 (RV)[iy] | ± 3.8% | 39% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 9%[iz] | – |
Fox News | Jul 7–10, 2019 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% | 3%[ja] | 20% |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 421 (LV) | – | 27% | 6% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 15% | 8%[jb] | – |
Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 (LV) | – | 39% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 5%[jc] | – |
Change Research | Jun 11–14, 2019 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 37% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 9% | – | 17% | 8%[jd] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 552 (LV) | – | 45% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 18% | – | 8% | 8%[je] | – |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 183 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 13% | – | 12% | 4%[jf] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 22–24, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 2% | 3% | 7% | – | 10% | – | 8% | – | 32% |
Crantford Research | May 14–16, 2019 | 381 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 4% | 8% | 10% | – | 7% | – | 8% | – | – |
Change Research | May 6–9, 2019 | 595 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 15% | – | 8% | 5%[jg] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 12% | – | 5% | 1%[jh] | 20% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2019 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 14% | – | 6% | 12%[ji] | – |
– | 12% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 24% | – | 11% | 12%[jj] | – | ||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 | 291 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 37% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 21% | – | 5% | 16%[jk] | – |
Change Research | Feb 15–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 10% | – | 13% | 8% | 14% | – | 9% | 12%[jl] | – |
– | 28% | 1% | 35% | – | – | – | 20% | 18%[jm] | – | ||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 5% | – | 12% | 2% | 8% | – | 4% | 2%[jn] | 31% |
Head-to-head polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/FairVote[7][jo] | Nov 22 – Dec 2, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 73% | 27% | – | – | – | – |
66% | – | 34% | – | – | – | ||||
61% | – | – | 29% | [jp] | 6% | ||||
– | 39% | 61% | – | – | – | ||||
– | 36% | – | 64% | – | – | ||||
– | – | 54% | 46% | – | – | ||||
Tel Opinion Research | May 22–24, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 71% | 10% | – | – | – | 19% |
70% | – | 15% | – | – | 16% | ||||
67% | – | – | 15% | – | 18% |
Alabama primary
The Alabama Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 257 | ± 7.8% | 36% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 17%[jq] | - | |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Mar 20–23, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 9% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 4%[jr] | - | |
– | 14% | 4% | 16% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 9%[js] | - |
Arkansas primary
The Arkansas Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Feb 6-7, 2020 | 496 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 10.1%[jt] | 11% |
California primary
The California Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Tom Steyer |
Others | Un- decided[a] | |
270 to Win | Feb 20, 2020 | Jan 3–Feb 19, 2020 | 27.4% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3%[ju] | 13.1% | |
RealClear Politics | Feb 20, 2020 | Feb 7–19, 2020 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5%[jv] | 10.5% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 20, 2020 | until Feb 19, 2020[d] | 27.8% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1%[jw] | 11.1% | |
Average | 27.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0%[jx] | 11.4% |
2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | Feb 16–19, 2020 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 24% | 5% | 10% | – | 3%[jy] | 13% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–20, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 2% | 16% | – | 3%[jz] | 6% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Feb 7–17, 2020 | 573 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 32% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[ka] | 8% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 25% | 3% | 9% | – | 1%[kb] | 9% |
YouGov/USC | Feb 1–15, 2020 | – | – | 21% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 20% | – | 2%[kc] | 9%[kd] |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly | Feb 6-9, 2020 | 843 (LV) | – | 8%[ke] | 8% | 15% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 6%[kf] | 3%[kg] |
11% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 29% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 5%[kh] | 1%[ki] | ||||
Iowa Caucuses | |||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News | Jan 25–27, 2020 | 1,967 (LV) | – | 15% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 30% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 4%[kj] | 13% |
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | Jan 15–21, 2020 | 2,895 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 26.3% | 1.8% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 3.6%[kk] | 11.7% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 565 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 20% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 2%[kl] | 4% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Institute of California/Mercury News | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 27% | – | 23% | 3% | 5%[km] | 7% |
Tulchin Research/USC Rossier/The Hill | Jan 3–10, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 25% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 2%[kn] | 6% |
Capitol Weekly | Jan 1–9, 2020 | 1,053 (LV) | – | 20% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 3%[ko] | – |
2019
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/KQED News | Dec 6–10, 2019 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 19% | 3% | 12% | – | – | 26% | 23% | 4% | 13%[kp] | – |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 508 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 17% | 6% | 12%[kq] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly | Dec 3–7, 2019 | 581 (LV) | –[kr] | 19% | 2% | 14% | – | – | 19% | 23% | 5% | 17%[ks] | 1% |
19% | 2% | 13% | 4% | – | 19% | 21% | 5% | 17%[kt] | 0% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | Nov 21–27, 2019 | 1,252 (LV) | – | 14% | 1% | 12% | 7% | – | 24% | 22% | 3% | 12%[ku] | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 8% | 10% | – | 18% | 13% | 5% | 11%[kv] | 5% |
Capitol Weekly | Nov 1–12, 2019 | 695 (LV) | – | 18% | 1% | 14% | 6% | – | 21% | 27% | 4% | 8%[kw] | 1% |
Public Policy Institute of California |
Nov 3–12, 2019 | 682 (LV) | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | 8% | – | 17% | 23% | 5% | 6%[kx] | 9% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Oct 15–18, 2019 | 1,631 (LV) | – | 19% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 3% | 6%[ky] | – |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 553 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 33% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 5%[kz] | 8% |
Capitol Weekly | Oct 1–14, 2019 | 590 (LV) | – | 21% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 15% | 35% | 3% | 9%[la] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California |
Sep 16–25, 2019 | 692 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 7%[lb] | 9% |
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | Sep 13–18, 2019 | 2,272 | – | 20% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 29% | 2% | 5%[lc] | 8% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 424 | ± 4.7% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 4%[ld] | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 4%[le] | 7% |
Change Research/KQED | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 3,325 | ± 1.7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 23% | 25% | 3% | 5%[lf] | – |
Capitol Weekly | Sep 1–13, 2019 | 599 | – | 18% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 21% | 29% | 4% | 5%[lg] | – |
Capitol Weekly | Sep 1–13, 2019 | 5,510 | – | 18% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 17% | 33% | 3% | 7%[lh] | – |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 528 | ± 6.3% | 25% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 21% | 1% | 1%[li] | 10% |
PPIC | Jul 14–23, 2019 | 766 | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | 5% | 19% | – | 12% | 15% | – | 14%[lj] | 25% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 1,514 | ± 2.9% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 16% | 19% | 1% | 9%[lk] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jul 10–15, 2019 | 519 | ± 5.7% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 2%[ll] | 10% |
Capitol Weekly | Jul 1–15, 2019 | 816 | – | 20% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 1% | 7%[lm] | – |
Change Research | Jul 9–11, 2019 | 1,609 | ± 2.5% | 17% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 20% | 22% | 2% | 5%[ln] | – |
Swalwell withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[15] | Jun 1–30, 2019 | 813 | – | 23% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 19% | 23% | 2% | 9%[lo] | – |
UC Berkeley | Jun 4–10, 2019 | 2,131 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 1% | 10% | 13% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 1% | 3%[lp] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly[15] | May 1–31, 2019 | 1,180 | – | 29% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 6%[lq] | – |
Change Research | May 25–28, 2019 | 1,649 | ± 2.4% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 3% | 23% | 12% | 1% | 2%[lr] | – |
Capitol Weekly[15] | Apr 15–30, 2019 | 1,204 | – | 20% | 2% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 20% | 10% | – | 9%[ls] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Apr 6–9, 2019 | 2,003 | ± 2.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 7%[lt] | – |
– | 5% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 5%[lu] | – | ||||
Swalwell announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University | Apr 3–8, 2019 | 482 | ± 5.9% | 26% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[lv] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Feb 9–11, 2019 | 948 | – | 26% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 7%[lw] | – |
– | 7% | 2% | 53% | – | – | 23% | 1% | 15%[lx] | – |
Colorado primary
The Colorado Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Michael Bennet |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
John Hickenlooper |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 403 | ± 4.8% | 1% | 25% | 5% | 13% | – | 26% | 20% | 4% | 8%[ly] | - |
Hickenlooper withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Jul 12–14, 2019 | 519 | – | 5% | 22% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 0% | 14%[lz] | - |
Maine primary
The Maine Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Elizabeth Warren |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided[a] |
RealClear Politics | Nov 8, 2019 | Oct 11–21, 2019 | 23.0% | 26.5% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 8.5%[ma] | 17.0% |
FiveThirtyEight | Jan 5, 2020 | until Oct 21, 2019 [d] | 24.2% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 10.7%[mb] | 15.4% |
Average | 23.6% | 22.7% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 9.6%[mc] | 16.2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colby College | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 350 | – | 12% | 16% | 25% | 9% | 2% | 24%[md] | 12% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Maine People's Resource Center | Oct 14–21, 2019 | 728 | ± 3.6% | 27% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 2% | 17%[me] | 4% | ||
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 19% | 9% | 12% | 31% | 3% | 24%[mf] | -[mg] | ||
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019 | 243 | ± 3.5% | 25% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 17%[mh] | 11% |
Massachusetts primary
The Massachusetts Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Others | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Feb 21, 2020 | Feb 16–18, 2020 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 5.0%[mi] | 9.0% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 21, 2020 | until Feb 19, 2020 [d] | 19.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 4.9%[mj] | 11.8% |
Average | 18.35% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 12.65% | 12.65% | 10.7% | 4.95%[mk] | 10.4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Falchuk & DiNatale | Feb 16-18, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 13% | – | 14% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 5%[ml] | 8% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12-19, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 14% | 12% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | – | 21% | 20% | 6%[mm] | 4% |
Patrick withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Falchuk & DiNatale | Jan 27-30, 2020 | 334 (LV) | – | 16% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 12% | 23% | 7%[mn] | – |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Patrick announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
WBUR | Oct 16–20, 2019 | 456 | ± 4.6% | 18% | – | 0% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | – | 13% | 33% | 7%[mo] | 15% |
Suffolk University | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 500 | - | 26% | – | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 24% | 6%[mp] | 25% |
Moulton withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Suffolk University | Jun 5–9, 2019 | 370 | ± 5.1% | 22% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 6% | 10% | 5%[mq] | 42% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Moulton announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 371 | ± 5.0% | 23% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 8% | – | 26% | 14% | 8%[mr] | – |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Nov 7–14, 2018 | 655 | – | 19% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 1%[ms] | 27% |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Minnesota primary
The Minnesota Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Lowell] | Feb 12-19, 2020 | 450(LV) | ± 6.4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | - | 27% | - | 21% | 16% | 4%[mt] | 4% |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 - Oct 15, 2019 | 249 | 14% | - | 7% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 13% | 25% | 5%[mu] | 21% | |
Change Research | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 772 | ± 3.7% | 20% | - | 11% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 5%[mv] | - |
North Carolina primary
The North Carolina Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date Updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Feb 18, 2020 | Jan 31, 2019–Feb 16, 2020 | 23.0% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 5.0%[mw] | 11.5% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 18, 2020 | Jan 31, 2019–Feb 16, 2020 | 23.0% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 3.0%[mx] | 13.5% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 13, 2020 | until Feb 13, 2020 [d] | 18.7% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.9%[my] | 10.8% |
Average | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.9%[mz] | 12.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 16% | 19% | – | 10% | – | 23% | 13% | – | 13%[na] | 6% |
SurveyUSA/WRAL News | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 20% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 22% | 8% | – | 7%[nb] | 11% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
High Point University | Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 | 225 (LV) | – | 24% | 16% | 0% | 8% | – | 20% | 11% | 3% | 9%[nc] | 8% |
399 (RV) | – | 19% | 13% | 1% | 6% | – | 25% | 12% | 4% | 8%[nd] | 12% | ||
Public Policy Polling | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 604 (LV) | – | 25% | 14% | – | 9% | – | 16% | 12% | 5% | 7%[ne] | 13%[nf] |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Jan 10–12, 2020 | 509 (LV) | – | 31% | 8% | 1% | 6% | – | 18% | 15% | 5% | 6%[ng] | 11%[nh] |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg launches his campaign | |||||||||||||
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 669 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 15% | 2% | 8%[ni] | 10% |
HighPoint University | Nov 1–7, 2019 | 347[nj] | ± 6.4% | 33% | – | 2% | 4% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 6%[nk] | 10% |
1,049[nl] | ± 3.6% | 18% | – | 2% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7%[nm] | 23% | ||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 324 | – | 29% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 3%[nn] | 32% |
High Point University | Sep 13–19, 2019 | 348 (A) | – | 31% | – | 4% | 3% | 6% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 3%[no] | 9% |
SurveyUSA/Civitas | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 534 | ± 6.1% | 36% | – | 1% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 1% | 2%[np] | 17% |
Emerson College | May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 | 397 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 22% | 15% | 1% | 7%[nq] | – |
Oklahoma primary
The Oklahoma Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 172 (LV) | – | 12% | 20% | 11% | – | 6% | 14% | 8% | 7%[nr] | 9% | |
242 (RV) | – | 11% | 18% | 9% | – | 7% | 17% | 8% | 6%[ns] | 8% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
SoonerPoll | Jul 17–27, 2019 | 152 | – | 26.2% | – | 5.9% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 8.7%[nt] | 34.1%[nu] |
Tennessee primary
The Tennessee Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Michael Bennet |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Bennet withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 128 | ± 11.2% | 2% | 33% | 6% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 15%[nv] | – |
Texas primary
The Texas Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Others | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Feb 20, 2020 | Jan 10-Feb 18, 2020 | 22.8% | 26.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6%[nw] | 8.0% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 20, 2020 | Jan 31-Feb 18, 2020 | 23.5% | 21.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0%[nx] | 11.0% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 20, 2020 | until Feb 18, 2020 [d] | 24.2% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.7%[ny] | 7.5% |
Average | 23.5% | 22.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1%[nz] | 8.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Julian Castro |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12-18, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 20% | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | 9% | – | 23% | 14% | – | 6%[oa] | 3% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Jan 31-Feb 9, 2020 | 575 (LV) | ± 4.09% | 22% | 10% | – | 7% | – | – | 3% | – | 24% | 15% | 6% | 13%[ob] | – |
University of Texas At Tyler/Dallas News | Jan 21-30, 2020 | 372 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 16% | – | 4% | – | – | 3% | – | 18% | 17% | 3% | 5%[oc] | – |
Data for Progress[8][C] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 26% | 7% | – | 10% | – | – | 4% | – | 20% | 14% | 3% | 3%[od] | 12% |
Texas Lyceum | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 6% | – | – | 4% | – | 26% | 13% | 0% | 4%[oe] | 7% |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 327 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 35% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 15% | 13% | 3% | 6%[of] | 9% |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas at Tyler | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 427 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 28% | – | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 18% | 19% | 2% | 4%[og] | – |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune |
Oct 18–27, 2019 | 541 | ± 4.2% | 23% | – | 1% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 4%[oh] | 5% |
University of Texas at Tyler | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 474 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 28% | – | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 1% | 5%[oi] | – |
Texas Tribune | Aug 29–Sep 15, 2019 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 26% | – | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 4%[oj] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 4–9, 2019 | 456 | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 1 | 1%[ok] | 12% |
Univision/UH | Aug 31– Sep 6, 2019 | 1004 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 20% | – | 3% | 1% | 12% | 5% | – | 19% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 4%[ol] | 10% |
Ragnar Research | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 23% | – | 1% | 6% | 2% | 7% | – | 12% | 12% | 15% | –[om] | 7%[on] | 18% |
Climate Nexus | Aug 20-25, 2019 | 639 | – | 24% | – | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | – | 21% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 5%[oo] | 9% |
TEXAS LYCEUM | Aug 16-25, 2019 | 358 | ± 5.2% | 24% | – | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 2% | 8%[op] | 2% |
Emerson College | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | <1% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 3% | 5%[oq] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 910 | ± 4.2% | 27% | – | 0% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 1% | 6%[or] | – |
YouGov/University of Texas | May 31 – Jun 9, 2019 | 483 | ± 5.0% | 23% | – | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 8%[os] | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 407 | ± 5.8% | 30% | – | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | <1% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 5%[ot] | 8% |
Change Research | May 30 – Jun 3, 2019 | 1,218 | ± 2.8% | 24% | – | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 27% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 2%[ou] | – |
Emerson College | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 342 | ± 5.3% | 23% | – | 1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 11%[ov] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research | Apr 18–22, 2019 | 1,578 | ± 2.5% | 20% | – | 2% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 25% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 2%[ow] | – |
– | – | 4% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 33% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 0%[ox] | – |
Utah primary
The Utah Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Salt Lake Tribune/Suffolk | Jan 18–22 2020 | 132 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 27% | 1% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 21% |
Vermont primary
The Vermont Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Joe Biden |
Amy Klobuchar |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vermont Public Radio | Feb 4 – 10, 2020 | 332 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2%[oy] | 7% |
Virginia primary
The Virginia Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Michael Bloomberg |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 18, 2020 | until Feb 18, 2020 [d] | 22.2% | 21.8% | 19.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.0%[oz] | 11.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | Feb 13 – 16, 2020 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 18% | 22% | – | 11% | – | – | 22% | 5% | 10%[pa] | 11% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
University of Mary Washington | Sep 3 – 15, 2019 | 882 | ± 3.3% | 23% | – | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 9% | 46%[pb] | – |
Hampton University | May 29 – Jun 6, 2019 | 1,126 | ± 4.3% | 36% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 10%[pc] | – |
Change Research | Apr 26–30, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.2% | 41% | – | 3% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 20% | 10% | 6%[pd] | – |
Michigan primary
The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[10]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Others | Undecided[pe] |
270 to Win | Jan 28, 2020 | Jan 8 - 20, 2020 | 27.0% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 12.0%[pf] | 10.0% |
RealClear Politics | Jan 28, 2020 | Oct 13 - Nov 3, 2019 | 32.0% | 22.5% | 20.0% | -- | 5.5% | 6.0%[pg] | 14.0% |
FiveThirtyEight | Jan 28, 2020 | until Jan 20, 2020[ph] | 29.1% | 22.7% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.1%[pi] | 8.7% |
Average | 29.4% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.4%[pj] | 8.4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8-20, 2020 | 477 (RV) | – | 27% | 9.1% | – | 6.3% | – | 1.9% | – | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.3%[pk] | 10.6% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Oct 31–Nov 3, 2019 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 34% | – | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | – | 28% | 19% | 2% | 3%[pl] | – |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 203 | – | 30% | – | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 1%[pm] | 23% |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23-Oct 15, 2019 | 208 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 25% | 1% | 0%[pn] | 27% |
Denno Research | Sep 21–24, 2019 | 217 | – | 27% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 1% | 4%[po] | 23%[pp] |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 324 | – | 35% | – | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 1% | 2%[pq] | 13%[pr] |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 268 | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 5%[ps] | – |
Denno Research | May 8–10, 2019 | 235 | – | 37% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4%[pt] | 23% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 317 | ± 5.5% | 40% | – | 3% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 11% | – | 4%[pu] | – |
Mississippi primary
The Mississippi Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Michael Bennet |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Bennet withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 282 | ± 7.5% | 3% | 47% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 8%[pv] | – | |
Chism Strategies | Jun 20-21, 2019 | 523 | ± 4.3% | 1% | 50% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 5%[pw] | 21% |
Missouri primary
The Missouri Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group | Jan 22–23, 2020 | 1,460 (LV) | – | 39% | 14% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 7% | 9% | 3%[px] | 14% |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Show Me Victories | Sept 13-16, 2019 | 400 | ± 5% | 34% | – | 10% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 8%[py] | – |
Remington Research Group | Jul 10–11, 2019 | 1,122 | – | 43% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 19% |
Washington primary
The Washington Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Jay Inslee |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Survey USA/K5 News | Jan 26–28, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 21% | 12% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 2%[pz] | 7% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his campaign | ||||||||||||||||
Inslee withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Jul 22– Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 | ± 2.8% | 19% | – | 5% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 11%[qa] | 16% |
Arizona primary
The Arizona Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[10]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Andrew Yang |
Others | Un- decided[a] |
RealClear Politics | Nov 27, 2019 | Oct 13 - Nov 8, 2019 | 27.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 10.4%[qb] | 14.9% |
FiveThirtyEight | Jan 1, 2020 | until Nov 8, 2019 [d] | 26.4% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 9.1%[qc] | 14.8% |
Average | 26.7% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 9.9%[qd] | 14.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Emerson Polling | Oct 25-28, 2019 | 339 | ± 5.2% | 28% | 12% | 4% | 21% | 21% | 5% | 7%[qe] | – | ||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13-26, 2019 | 209 | – | 24% | 5% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 1% | 1%[qf] | 31% | ||
Change Research | Sep 27-28, 2019 | 396 (LV) | – | 15% | 13% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 8% | 7%[qg] | – | ||
Bendixen&Amandi | Sep 9-12, 2019 | 250 | ± 4.3% | 29% | 5% | 4% | 18% | 24% | 2% | 8%[qh] | 10% | ||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 197 | ± 7.0% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 0% | 11%[qi] | – |
Florida primary
The Florida Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Other | Un- decided[a] | |
270 to Win | Feb 20, 2020 | Jan 21–Feb 19, 2020 | 28.0% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.0%[qj] | 18.0% | |
RealClear Politics | Feb 14, 2020 | Jan 9–Feb 13, 2020 | 34.0% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 1.5%[qk] | 12.5% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 20, 2020 | until Feb 19, 2020 [d] | 23.5% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 2.7%[ql] | 13.6% | |
Average | 28.5% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.0%[qm] | 14.8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St Pete Polls | Feb 18-19, 2020 | 2,412 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 27% | 32% | – | 8% | – | 7% | – | 11% | 5% | – | 2%[qn] | 10% |
Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico | Feb 13-18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% | 26% | – | 8% | – | 5% | – | 13% | 7% | 1% | 4%[qo] | 16% |
St Pete Polls | Feb 12-13, 2020 | 3,047 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 26% | 27% | – | 11% | – | 9% | – | 10% | 5% | – | 1%[qp] | 11% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | Jan 27–28, 2020 | 2,590 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 41% | 17% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2%[qq] | 10% |
Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico | Jan 21-23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[qr] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 18% | – | – | 20% |
29% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 4% | – | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2%[qs] | 28% | ||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 16% | 10% | 5% | 5%[qt] | 4%[qu] |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Siena College/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 1%[qv] | 29% |
Tel Opinion Research | Sep 15–18, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.54% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% | – | – | 18% |
37% | – | – | 5% | 6% | – | – | 9% | 18% | 2% | – | 20% | ||||
24% | – | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3%[qw] | 49% | ||||
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 34% | – | 1% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 24% | 2% | 8%[qx] | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 2,022 | ± 2.2% | 47% | – | 3% | 8% | 6% | – | 2% | 8% | 12% | – | 7% | 6% |
Change Research | Jun 16–17, 2019 | 1,130 | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | 2% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 3% | 2%[qy] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 417 | ± 5.8% | 41% | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 12% | <1% | 1%[qz] | 12% |
Climate Nexus | Jun 7–11, 2019 | 676 | ± 2.6% | 32% | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 10% | 2% | 9%[ra] | 14% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 228 | ± 6.5% | 34% | – | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[rb] | – |
Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 14%[rc] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 8, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | – | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 28% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Tel Opinion Research* | Mar 21, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 31% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Bendixen & Amandi International | Mar 1–4, 2019 | 300 | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 0%[rd] | 46% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 11% | 7% | – | 34%[re] | 17% |
Illinois primary
The Illinois Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Illinois University | Feb 10–17, 2020 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 14% | 13% | - | 22% | 6% | 27%[rf] | 17% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Victory Research | Nov 27–Dec 1, 2019 | 1,500 (RV) | ±2.83% | 23.2% | 15.9% | - | 15.0% | 17.4% | 3.6% | 24.9% | |||
Victory Research | Jul 26–29, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 36.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.9%[rg] | 7.3% |
Ohio primary
The Ohio Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020. [16]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Andrew Yang |
Others | Undecided[a] |
FiveThirtyEight | Jan 1, 2020 | until Oct 7, 2019 [d] | 30.2% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 9.9%[rh] | 15.4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Iowa Caucuses | |||||||||||||
Delaney withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 428 (RV) | – | 32.1% | 10.1% | – | 6.1% | – | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 5.7%[ri] | 9.8% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Williamson withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bullock withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Sestak withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Messam withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Ryan withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Climate Nexus | Oct 1-Oct 7, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 32% | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17%[rj] | –[note 1] |
Emerson | Sep 29-Oct 2, 2019 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 29% | – | 0% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 3% | 5%[rk] | 2% |
Quinnipiac | Jul 17-22, 2019 | 556 | ± 5.1% | 31% | – | 1% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 6%[rl] | 11% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 29% | – | 3% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 6%[rm] | – |
Georgia primary
The Georgia Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 24, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Date polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Other | Un- decided[a] | |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 13, 2020 | until Feb 12, 2020 [d] | 26.7% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.5%[rn] | 17.3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Julian Castro |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark/WSB-TV | Feb 12, 2020 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 32% | 14% | 5% | – | – | 3% | 14% | 4% | – | 3% [ro] | 26% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 536 (LV) | – | 36% | 6% | 7% | – | – | – | 17% | 14% | – | 5%[rp] | – |
39% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 18% | 14% | – | 6% | – | ||||
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 457 | – | 31% | – | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 14% | 14% | 2% | 9% [rq] | 19% |
Landmark/WSB-TV | Sep 18–21, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.1% | 41% | – | 5% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 17% | 2% | 5% [rr] | 15% |
Change Research [9] | Sep 7–11, 2019 | 755 | ± 3.6% | 33% | – | 7% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 17% | 22% | 3% | 9%[rs] | – |
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 402 | ± 6.4% | 31% | – | 5% | 3% | 15% | 2% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 6%[rt] | – |
Wyoming caucus
The Wyoming Democratic caucuses are scheduled to take place on April 4, 2020.[10] Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Montana State University Billings | Oct 7–16, 2019 | 14 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 82% | 2% | <1%[ru] | 16% |
Wisconsin primary
The Wisconsin Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 7, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Michael Bloomberg |
Andrew Yang |
Amy Klobuchar |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Jan 22, 2020 | Jan 5-20, 2020 | 22.7% | 22.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6%[rv] | 12.9% |
RealClear Politics | Jan 15, 2020 | Oct 13, 2019–Jan 12, 2020 | 23.0% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8%[rw] | 14.3% |
FiveThirtyEight | Jan 22, 2020 | until Jan 20, 2020 [d] | 22.6% | 21.8% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2%[rx] | 11.7% |
Average | 22.8% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8%[ry] | 13.3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 464 (RV) | – | 21.8% | 8.4% | – | 7.7% | – | 3% | 28.4% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 2.5%[rz] | 10.9% |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School[10] | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 6% | 1% | 15% | – | 4% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 3%[sa] | 9% |
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | 7% | 3% | 9% | – | 4% | 21% | 13% | 3% | 6%[sb] | 10% |
Marquette University Law School[11] | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 19% | 16% | 3% | 3%[sc] | 11% |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 801 (RV) | – | 30% | – | 3% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 6%[sd] | 10% |
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 292 | – | 23% | – | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 2% | 2%[se] | 19% |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23-Oct 15, 2019 | 274 (LV) | – | 17% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 1%[sf] | 35% |
Fox News | Sep 29–Oct 2, 2019 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 5%[sg] | 9% |
Marquette University Law School | Aug 25–29, 2019 | 444 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 28% | – | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 17% | 2% | 5%[sh] | 13% |
Change Research | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 935 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 24% | 29% | 2% | 5%[si] | – |
Change Research | Jun 29-Jul 4, 2019 | 1261 (LV) | – | 18% | – | 3% | 15% | 17% | 1% | 19% | 19% | 1% | 6%[sj] | – |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 238 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 2%[sk] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Apr 15–18, 2019 | 485 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | – | 4% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 11%[sl] | 14% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 15–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 14% | 1% | 10%[sm] | – |
Connecticut primary
The Connecticut Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy | Dec 16, 2019-Jan 2, 2020 | ~318 (RV)[sn] | – | 33% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 3.4%[so] | 15.2% |
Delaware primary
The Delaware Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Data for Progress[12][D] | Nov 15–25, 2019 | 481 (LV) | – | 35% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 14%[sp] | 15% | ||
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gravis Marketing | Jul 24–29, 2018 | 354 | ± 5.2% | 47% | 5% | - | 3% | 5% | 9% | 2%[sq] | 29% |
Maryland primary
The Maryland Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Goucher College | Sept 13–19, 2019 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 33% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 21% | 10%[sr] | 15% |
New York primary
The New York Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civis Analytics/Data For Progress | Jan 13-19, 2020 | 845 (LV) | - | 30% | 17% | 7% | - | 17% | 14% | 15%[ss] | - |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
Siena College | Nov 12–18, 2019 | 797 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 24% | - | 5% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 12%[st] | 29%[su] |
Siena College | Oct 6–10, 2019 | 340 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 21% | - | 4% | 4% | 16% | 21% | 10%[sv] | 24%[sw] |
de Blasio withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
Siena College* | Sep 8–12, 2019 | 359 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 22% | - | 3% | 4% | 15% | 17% | 4%[sx] | 34% |
Gillibrand withdraws from the race |
Head-to-head polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Bill de Blasio |
Kirsten Gillibrand |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | Jun 2–6, 2019 | 385 | – | 25% | 56% | 11% | 8% |
Pennsylvania primary
The Pennsylvania Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[10]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Pete Buttigieg |
Michael Bloomberg |
Andrew Yang |
Amy Klobuchar |
Other | Un- decided[a] |
270 to Win | Jan 30, 2020 | Jan 8–26, 2020 | 26.5% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5%[sy] | 17.5% |
RealClear Politics | Jan 30, 2020 | Sep 30, 2019–Jan 26, 2020 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 6.0% | -- | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3%[sz] | 41.1% |
FiveThirtyEight | Jan 30, 2020 | until Jan 26, 2020[d] | 27.7% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0%[ta] | 18.4% |
Average | 25.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4%[tb] | 25.5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College | Jan 20-26, 2020 | 292 (RV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | 15% | 14% | 18%[tc] | 19% |
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8-20, 2020 | 502 (RV) | – | 31.3% | 9.1% | – | 6.5% | – | – | 20.5% | 11.5% | 8.8%[td] | 11% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Sestak withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 21-27, 2019 | 226 (RV) | ± 8.9% | 30% | – | 1% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 18% | 15%[te] | 16% |
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 304 | – | 28% | – | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 16% | 3%[tf] | 30% |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23-Oct 15, 2019 | 246 (LV) | – | 27% | – | 1% | 3% | 4% | No voters | 14% | 18% | 5%[tg] | 29% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc. | Sep 30 – Oct 6, 2019 | 307 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 17% | – | 0% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 7%[th] | 52% |
Franklin & Marshall College | Jul 29 – Aug 4, 2019 | 295 | ± 8.7% | 28% | – | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 3%[ti] | 19% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 246 | ± 6.3% | 46% | – | 2% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 8% | 2%[tj] | – |
Quinnipiac University | May 9–14, 2019 | 431 | ± 6.2% | 39% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 3%[tk] | 12% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Muhlenberg College | Apr 3–10, 2019 | 405 | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 8% | 9%[tl] | 20% |
Emerson College | Mar 26–28, 2019 | 359 | ± 5.1% | 39% | – | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 20% | 11% | 10%[tm] | – |
Indiana primary
The Indiana Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 5, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
We Ask America | Apr 29 – May 5, 2019 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 33% | 20% | 3% | 23% | 5%[tn] | 15% |
Oregon primary
The Oregon Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 19, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Mar 18–19, 2019 | 238 | ± 6.4% | 26% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 27% | 6% | 4% | 7%[to] | 11% |
Montana primary
The Montana Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[10] Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Steve Bullock |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bullock withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Montana State University Billings | Oct 7-16, 2019 | 40 (LV) | – | 15% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 40% | No voters | 2%[tp] | 25% |
New Jersey primary
The New Jersey Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PublicMind/Fairleigh Dickinson University | Feb 12-16, 2020 | 379 (A) | ± 5.0% | 16% | 23% | – | 10% | – | 24% | 7% | – | 7%[tq] | 11% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | Jan 16-19, 2020 | 388 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28% | 9% | – | 6% | – | 25% | 15% | 6% | 11%[tr] | – |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Sep 12–16, 2019 | 325 | ± 5.4% | 26% | – | 9% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 20% | 1% | 6%[ts] | 8% |
Change Research | Aug 16–20, 2019 | 1176 | ± 2.9% | 26% | – | 5% | 12% | 8% | 21% | 23% | 1% | 4%[tt] | – |
New Mexico primary
The New Mexico democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Emerson Polling | Jan 3-6, 2020 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 11%[tu] | - |
Notes
- ^ The poll did not provide separate information for this entry, so it is grouped under 'other'.
- Partisan clients
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ^ By the time of the sampling period, Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
- ^ By the time of the sampling period, Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
- Additional candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Gabbard with 1.8%; Bloomberg with 1.3%; Bennet with 0.5%; Patrick not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.0%; Bennet and Patrick not reported
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Gabbard and Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.3%; Patrick with 0.0%
- ^ Uncommitted with 0.6%; Gabbard with 0.2%; Bennet and Bloomberg with 0.1%; Patrick with 0%; other with 0.1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Uncommitted with 0.6; Bennet and Bloomberg with 0.1%; Patrick with 0%; other with 0.1%
- ^ After reallocation of delegates from candidates estimated to not clear the viability threshold in each precinct
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%
- ^ a b c d e Data not yet released, but all other candidates each have <5%
- ^ If the contest came down to Biden and Sanders
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Re-allocating support to second choice for candidates receiving <15% of first choice votes
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with <1%
- ^ If only the four candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ^ "None of these/won't caucus" with 1%
- ^ If only the six candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ^ "None of these/won't caucus" with <1%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; other with <1%; "no one" with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Reported as "Unsure"
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; Someone Else with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 0.2%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.0%; "Other/Please Specify" with 0.4%; "Don't Know/Refused" with 13%
- ^ If voters could choose only one of Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders or Warren
- ^ Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ^ If the field is narrowed to these top four candidates
- ^ Listed as "don't know/refused"
- ^ Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Bloomberg with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Not listed separately from "others"
- ^ Trump with 5%; "others" with 2%
- ^ If the only viable candidates to caucus for were the four listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ Booker with 4%, Bennet and Delaney with <1%, Patrick with 0%, Other with <1%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Castro with 1%; Delaney, Bloomberg, Bennet, Williamson with 0%
- ^ Booker with 4%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Bullock, Castro and Williamson with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; none with 2%
- ^ Booker, Bullock, and Castro with 1%, Messam, Delaney, Bennet, Williamson, and Sestak with 0%, "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bullock and Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bloomberg, Delaney, and Williamson with <1%; Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Delaney, O'Rourke and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Bennett, Booker, Bullock and Castro with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 3%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ As evidenced by Sestak being listed in second choices but not first preferences and the lack of an 'other' column in the first preferences topline
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard and Yang with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters[bb]
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 3%; Yang with 1%; Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam and Sestak with no voters; refused with 0%
- ^ Yang with 5%; Bullock with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet and Williamson with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with no voters; everyone else with 4%
- ^ a b The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Yang with 1%; a different Democratic candidate, don't know, or refused with 25%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet, Gabbard, Williamson, and Ryan with 1%, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Yang with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 2%, Bullock, Castro, and Delaney with 1%, Bennet, de Blasio, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "none of these" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Yang with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard, and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gillibrand and Yang with 2%; Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Inslee, O'Rourke, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Steyer with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with <1%; Messam and Moulton with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio and Messam with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Ryan, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, and Inslee with <1%; Bennet, Hickenlooper, McAuliffe, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet and McAuliffe with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Gillibrand and Yang with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ Poll sponsored by End Citizens United
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Inslee with 1%; Bloomberg, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%
- ^ Gillibrand with 1%
- ^ Brown with 4%; Castro with 2%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 1%; Gabbard and Yang with 0%; others with 8%
- ^ Kennedy with 5%; Clinton with 4%; Brown with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Gillibrand, Kerry, and Swalwell with 1%; Holder, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Brown, Castro, Delaney, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, Steyer, Swalwell, and Yang with <1%
- ^ Brown with 3%; Bloomberg and Kerry with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Garcetti with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Gillibrand and Holder with 2%; Avenatti and Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Landrieu, and Patrick with <1%; others with 1%
- ^ Poll sponsored by O'Say Can You See PAC, the PAC that supported O'Malley in 2016
- ^ O'Malley with 18%; Cuomo with 8%; Castro and Sandberg with 4%; Gillibrand with 3%; Schultz with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bloomberg with 0.5%
- ^ Patrick with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 2.3%; Patrick with 0.7%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Bloomberg with 0.9%; Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson with 0.0%; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ^ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; other with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; other with 2%; refused with 0%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Bennet and Bloomberg with 0%; Patrick with no voters; other with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 1%; others with 1%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with <1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ If the primary came down to the five candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ^ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 4%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg (explicitly as a write in) and Patrick with 2%; Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 3%; Delaney not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with <1%
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Delaney with 0%; some other candidate with 2%; would not vote with <1%
- ^ Listed as "Don't know/refused"
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with no voters; "someone else" with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg with 4%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with no voters; other with 1%
- ^ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ^ Booker with 2%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; Patrick and "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ If the primary came down to the seven candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these" with 3%; Booker with 2%
- ^ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these" with 5%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%; someone else with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- ^ Includes "refused"
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Delaney and Sestak and with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; refused with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 5%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%, "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet and Castro, with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney and other with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Castro with 0% and Williamson with 0%; other with 3%
- ^ a b c The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Ryan with 1%, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Bullock, Bennet and Williamson with less than 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Castro, Delaney and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Messam and Sestak with 0%; "no one" with 1%;
- ^ Steyer with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro with 1%; others with 2%
- ^ Delaney with 3%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg, Brown, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
- ^ Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
- ^ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
- ^ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Gabbard not averaged; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 9.1%; Gabbard with 2.0%
- ^ Individual candidate numbers add up to more than 100%
- ^ Bloomberg with 3.0%; Gabbard with 1.1%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; someone else with 2%
- ^ others with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; Other with 5%
- ^ Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with 0%; Bennet and Williamson with no voters; other with 0%; refused with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; others with 0%; none with 8%
- ^ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 2%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 7%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; "refused" with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Bennet, de Blasio, and Gabbard with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; others with 4%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Abrams, Castro, Gabbard, and Swalwell with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Gillibrand with 1%; Hickenlooper and Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg with 6.0%; Gabbard with 1.8%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.8%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 9.4%; Gabbard with 1.7%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5.1%; Gabbard with 1.8%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Accumulated responses until he withdrew; name not included afterwards.
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Bennet and Patrick were included until they withdrew; Bennet received no voters; Patrick accumulated few enough to round down to 0%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ The poll's sponsor, Unite the Country, is a pro-Biden super PAC.
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None of the above" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bloomberg with 3%; Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Bloomberg and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; Bullock and Castro with no voters
- ^ Yang with 4%; Gabbard, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 4%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%
- ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Bennet, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, and Sestak with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Messam with < 0.5%; Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, Castro and "Someone else" with 1%; Delaney, Sestak and Bennet with 0%; Bullock, Messam, Ryan and Williamson with less than 0.5%
- ^ Bennet, Klobuchar, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ^ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ^ de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 1%; "A different Democratic candidate" with 7%
- ^ Bennet and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with <1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ^ Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Gravel, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 3%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%
- ^ Abrams with 7%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Inslee, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%: Brown and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, and Delaney with 0%; others with 8%
- ^ Brown and Holder with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Castro with 4%; Delaney with 3%; Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand and Yang with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ But for the Biden vs Warren matchup, 'undecided' and 'other' voters are not included in the listed percentages for this poll.
- ^ Would not vote with 4%
- ^ Sestak with 3%; Bennet with 2%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and Ryan with 0%; No answer with 7%
- ^ Castro, Klobuchar, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Messam and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2.3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2.1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2.0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Tulsi Gabbard 1%; someone else 1%
- ^ "Some other Democrat" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "someone else/skipped"
- ^ Answers listed in this row are for the question, "If electability wasn't a concern, who would you support?"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker, Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.4%; Bennet with 0.9%; Booker with 0.8%; "All others" with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; others with 0%
- ^ someone else (included Bloomberg) 6%
- ^ Booker and "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; no response with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg, Castro and Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None/No one" with 1%
- ^ The top row presents results which exclude Kamala Harris as an option.
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Patrick with no voters
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Steyer with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Patrick, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; other with 4%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Steyer, and some other Democrat with 1%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 2%; Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio and Ryan with 0%; no response with 2%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%;
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Castro, Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ "Anyone" with 2%; "None of them" with 5%; "Others" with 7%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Klobuchar, Steyer, Williamson with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%, others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, & Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell & Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar & Inslee with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard & Hickenlooper with 2%; Bennet, Gillibrand & Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Inslee with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Castro with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Williamson with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; de Blasio, Gabbard, O'Rourke, Ryan , Williamson, and "Someone else" with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ O’Rourke with 1%; Booker, Castro, Inslee, de Blasio, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, Steyer, Williamson, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Harris with 4.5%; Booker with 2.5%; O'Rourke with 1.5%
- ^ Williamson with 3.3%; Booker with 2.8%; Bennet with 2.1%; Klobuchar with 1.7%; Gabbard with 0.8%
- ^ Booker with 2.7%; Harris with 2.3%; Williamson with 1.7%; Bennet with 1.1%; Klobuchar with 0.9%; O'Rourke with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.4%
- ^ Bloomberg with 14%; Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Harris with 5%; Booker with 3%; O'Rourke with 2%; others with 7%
- ^ Harris with 4%; Booker with 2%; Castro and O'Rourke with 1%; "someone else/undecided" with 16%
- ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Ryan with 4%; Booker and Williamson with 3%; Bennet and Harris with 2%; Gillibrand, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Hickenlooper Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3.0%; Steyer with 2.0%
- ^ Steyer with 2.6%; Gabbard with 2.3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2.65%; Steyer with 2.3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Yang with 3%; Booker with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Delaney, Steyer and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Yang with 1%; de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; refused with 1%
- ^ Gabbard, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Moulton with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer and "Another Candidate" with 0%
- ^ Yang with 4%; Booker with 1%; Steyer, Castro, and Refused to answer with 0%; Someone else not reported
- ^ Yang with 2%; Booker, Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3.0%; Gabbard with 2.0%
- ^ Steyer with 3.0%; Gabbard not averaged
- ^ Steyer with 2.5%; Gabbard with 1.4%
- ^ Steyer with 2.8%; Gabbard with 1.1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Gabbard and Steyer with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; others with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Steyer and Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5% and Steyer with 2%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 3%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 3%
- ^ Democrats only
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; refused with 6%
- ^ All adults
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 1%; refused with 21%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%
- ^ Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; O'Rourke with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ "Other candidates" with 7%; likely not voting with 14%
- ^ Yang with 3%; Steyer with 0.0%; others with 3%; would not vote with 15%
- ^ Bennet and Booker with 1.5%; Inslee with 1.4%; O'Rourke with 1.0%; Gillibrand with 0.9%; Delaney with 0.8%; Bullock with 0.6%; Hickenlooper with 0.5%; de Blasio, Castro, Gabbard, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Yang with 0.0%
- ^ Listed as Don't know/undecided
- ^ Booker, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%; No answer with 6%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2.3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3.0%; Steyer not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 2.4%; Steyer with 2.3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2.6%; Steyer with 1.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; others with 8%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; De La Fuente, Delaney, Gabbard and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; "none of the above" with 4%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Sestak and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0; Bennet, Bullock, and Messam with no voters
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Steyer with 1%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Steyer, Gabbard, Bennet, Delaney with 1%; Rest with 0%
- ^ Not listed separately
- ^ Gabbard with 4%
- ^ Gabbard, Ryan, Steyer, Delaney and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Bullock with 2%; Gabbard, Ryan, Bennet, McAuliffe, Moulton, Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan with 1%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Hickenlooper, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with <1%
- ^ Abrams with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel and Hickenlooper with 1%; Messam, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 7%
- ^ Abrams and Swalwell with 1%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 0.0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 9%; Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro with 1%; Non-voter/no answer with 43%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; Messam with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Yang with 3.0%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Steyer with 2.0%; Gabbard, Bennet, and Patrick with 1.0%
- ^ Harris, Booker and Yang with 1.5%; Gabbard with 1.0%; Klobuchar with 0.5%
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Yang with 3.0%; Klobuchar with 2.2%; Steyer with 1.5%; Gabbard and Bennet with 0.7%; Delaney and Patrick with 0.5%
- ^ Yang with 2.5%; Klobuchar with 1.6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1.2%; Delaney with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Patrick with 0.5%
- ^ Steyer with 1.7%; Delaney with 1.6%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; Someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro and Steyer with no voters; someone else with 0%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Gabbard, Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 1%; de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sestak, and Yang with 0%; No answer with 3%
- ^ de Blasio, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
- ^ Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard and "Some Other Democrat" with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1% ; Someone else with 1%
- ^ Harris with 4.0%; Klobuchar with 1.7%; Castro, Gabbard, and O'Rourke with 1.0%; Booker with 0.7%; Steyer and Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3.2%; Gabbard with 1.4%; Steyer with 1.2%; Booker with 1.1%; Castro with 1.0%; Delaney and Bennet with 0.5%; Williamson with 0.2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2.5%; Harris with 2.0%; Gabbard with 1.2%; Castro with 1.0%; Booker and Steyer with 0.9%; Bennet and O'Rourke with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.3%; Williamson with 0.1%
- ^ Gabbard, Klobuchar and O'Rourke with 2%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Booker, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 4%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker, Castro, Delaney, and O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2.0%; Gabbard not reported
- ^ Steyer with 1.5%; Gabbard not averaged
- ^ Steyer with 1.7%; Gabbard with 1.0%
- ^ Steyer with 1.7%; Gabbard with 0.3%
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard and Bennet with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ If only Biden, Sanders and Warren remained as candidates
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, and Gabbard 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "someone else/unsure"
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Listed as others
- ^ Messam with 3%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Messam with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, and Moulton with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 9%
- ^ Brown, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Winfrey with 17%; Holder with 5%; Brown with 3%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Murphy with 2%; Bullock, Landrieu, Patrick, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 17%; Klobuchar with 8%; Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Klobuchar with 1.7%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2.4%; Booker with 2.0%; Steyer with 1.9%; Gabbard with 1.4%; Delaney with 0.9%; Castro with 0.8%; Williamson with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.1%
- ^ Steyer with 2.2%; Klobuchar with 1.5%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Castro, Delaney, O'Rourke, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Messam and Sestak with 0%; Other/Unsure with 10%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Bullock with 1%; Ryan, Bennett, Klobuchar, Sestak, Steyer, Castro, and Messam with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1.5%; Gabbard with 1.0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Some other declared Democrat with 5%
- ^ Booker and Williamson with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Steyer with 1%; Sestak with 0%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Gabbard, O'Rourke, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet and Steyer with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Booker and Bullock with 2%; O'Rourke and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.3%; Steyer with 1.0%; Patrick with 0.3%; Bennet, and Delaney not averaged
- ^ Steyer with 1.5%; Gabbard with 1.3%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Steyer with 1.3%; Patrick with 0.3%; Bennet with 0.1%; Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1.3%; Patrick with 0.2%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ Gabbard with 0.8%; Patrick with 0.6%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.4%; Steyer with 0.3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; Bennet and Delaney not reported
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; none of the above with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Bullock, Steyer, Williamson, someone else, Would not vote, and Refused with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 1%; Steyer with 0%; Castro with no voters; other with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Other with <1%; Castro and Messam with 0%; None of the above with 1%
- ^ "Someone else", Bullock, Gillibrand, O'Rourke, Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Gabbard, Delaney, Castro, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Steyer, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 5%; Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ O'Rourke with 6%; Gillibrand with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Sample size for Democratic registered voters not given; if the subsample of Democratic registered voters within an overall sample of 1000 adults (86.6% of whom are registered) falls in line with the Connecticut party registration figures as of November 2018, it will comprise 36.6% of that overall sample
- ^ Other with 3.4%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Bloomberg, Delaney, Klobuchar, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Patrick, Sestak, and Steyer with 0%; not voting with 6%
- ^ Castro and Cuomo with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Booker, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Other with >1%; Refused to answer with 5%
- ^ Steyer and Yang with 4%; Bennet and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%
- ^ Booker and Yang with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Patrick, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ also includes "refused"
- ^ Yang with 3%; Booker, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio and Gabbard with <1%; other with 4%
- ^ also includes "refused"
- ^ Gabbard, Klobuchar and Yang with 1%; Booker, de Blasio, Castro and O'Rourke with less than 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.5%; Delaney and Patrick with 0.0%
- ^ Bennet with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.3%; Steyer (and Bloomberg) not averaged; Delaney and Patrick not reported
- ^ Steyer with 1.3%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.2%; Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ Bennet and Steyer with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.1%; Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ Yang and Klobuchar with 5%; "Other" with 2%; "None" with 6%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2.5%; Bennet with 1.2%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Yang with 1%; Bullock with <1%; none with 8%; other with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with no voters; refused with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Yang with 0%; someone else/none with 3%; refused to answer with 1%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard, and "Other" with 1%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%; others with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; others with 6%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Gillibrand with 2%; Castro and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ O'Rourke and Warren with 2%; Booker with 1%; Klobuchar with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 0%; someone else with 1%; will not vote with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Delaney with 2%; Bennet and Steyer with 0%; Patrick with no voters; someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; de Blasio and Klobuchar with 1%; Delaney and Sestak with 0%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, O'Rourke, Ryan, Steyer and Williamson with <1%; no one with 2%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 10%
References
- ^ "DNC Announces Details For The First Two Presidential Primary Debates". Democratic National Committee. February 14, 2019. Retrieved March 9, 2019.
- ^ Montellaro, Zach (June 6, 2019). "Who's in — and out — of the first Democratic debates". Retrieved June 7, 2019.
- ^ Verhovek, John (May 29, 2019). "ABC News to host 3rd Democratic primary debate in September as DNC announces higher qualifying threshold". ABC News. Retrieved May 29, 2019.
- ^ "Political Intelligence - The State of the Democratic Primary". Morning Consult.
- ^ "Political Intelligence - The State of the Democratic Primary on the Wayback Machine". Morning Consult.
- ^ "Political Intelligence - The State of the Democratic Primary on the Wayback Machine". Morning Consult.
- ^ "Political Intelligence - The State of the Democratic Primary on the Wayback Machine". Morning Consult.
- ^ a b "2020 Democratic Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
- ^ a b "Democratic Delegate Pledging and Voter Eligibility". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
- ^ Shepard, Steven; Schneider, Elena (February 1, 2020). "Des Moines Register poll scrapped after apparent mishap". Politico. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved February 1, 2020.
- ^ Lerer, Lisa; Martin, Jonathan; Grynbaum, Michael M. (February 1, 2020). "Des Moines Register Poll of Iowa Caucusgoers Abruptly Shelved". The New York Times. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
- ^ Clare Malone [@ClareMalone] (February 4, 2020). "We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll: Sanders 22% Warren 18% Buttigieg 16% Biden 13%" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Important Election Dates & Deadlines in Nevada". Rock the Vote. February 2, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
- ^ a b c Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil Mehta. "California Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2019-09-01.
- ^ "The Green Papers".
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Democratic National Convention
- Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election